Leading article: Ms Merkel delivers, but the threat to the euro remains
Investors' loss of confidence has already spread alarmingly and threatens Spain and Italy
Latest in Leading Articles
Opinion blogs
All Blair’s Fault, contd.
I have been inundated with a request, from Polly Toynbee, for my opinion on an article in The Observ...
Twitter, power lists and the question of gender
In the 1920s, at the early stages of radio establishing itself as the most influential technological...
GCSEs are a pointless waste of time
A few facts. Last year almost 70% of 16 year olds achieved at least 5 GCSE passes with grades A*-C. ...
Related articles
Although it is a matter of unqualified relief that the German parliament so comprehensively agreed to expand the eurozone bailout fund, yesterday's "yes" vote is but a single, small victory in a long and difficult campaign. That Germany's fractious politicians still do not seem to grasp that is of grave concern.
The Bundestag vote is of course a significant hurdle cleared. It is also a well-deserved fillip for Angela Merkel, who faces criticism abroad for her dilatory response to the euro crisis and ire at home for risking taxpayers' money to shore up the profligate Greeks. Given that three quarters of Germans do not support the plan to increase their contribution to the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), there was a real risk that the measures might not be passed at all. And if the government had failed to win a "Chancellor's majority", and been forced to rely on opposition support, it could have triggered a confidence vote. In the event, Ms Merkel won on both counts, and although the margin of her coalition's majority may have been a mere five votes, she nonetheless survives with her political credibility intact.
In fact, yesterday's vote is testament to Ms Merkel's considerable abilities. She has never been a grandstanding politician. Rather, her leadership has been characterised by a world-class talent for dealmaking. The value of such an approach should not be underestimated. The Grand Coalition that Ms Merkel led in her first term confounded sceptics' predictions, surviving for a full term thanks to her unbeatable skills at knitting together apparently irreconcilable positions. The recent frantic campaign to win grassroots support for the upgraded EFSF is just the latest example of her similar approach to the current centre-right coalition.
Ms Merkel's slowly-slowly response to the euro crisis follows the same pattern. In part, it plays to her instinctive caution. In part, it reflects the nigh-impossible political balancing act required to use Germany's economic might to save the eurozone while keeping the support of a German public spooked by the ghosts of hyperinflation into a hearty, even moralistic, distaste for debt.
If yesterday's Bundestag vote is, to some extent at least, a vindication for Ms Merkel, her failure to explain to the German electorate that letting Greece go will cost far more than saving it is still worthy of criticism. The case desperately needs to be made. While everyone outside Germany knows that even the upgraded EFSF is too small, the Bavarian section of Ms Merkel's Christian Democratic Union party was already making noises about no more bailouts yesterday. And Wolfgang Schäuble, the Finance Minister, branded speculation about further changes to the EFSF as "indecent", even as European officials were putting together sensible proposals to leverage the newly-expanded €440bn up to €1 trillion.
With a free hand, Ms Merkel could yet win through, building a consensus behind each individual step as required and gradually inching German public opinion around to support, or at least accept, all necessary measures. But there is no room to manoeuvre. Investors' catastrophic loss of confidence has already spread alarmingly and now threatens Spain and Italy, which between them hold €1.5 trillion worth of debt. Exposed banks are in increasing need of recapitalisation. And the next round of more radical rescue measures is, rightly, on the table, before the ink is even dry on Germany's ratification of the last ones. Yesterday was indeed a triumph for Ms Merkel. But she does not have the time to do the same again.
- 1 Robert Fisk: Clinton's $33m raid on Pakistan shows that, in the end, hypocrisy will win
- 2 Martin Hickman: A silken performance from Blair the master escapologist
- 3 Ian Birrell: Bob Geldof's obsession with aid hurt Africa. But now trade is healing the scars
- 4 Robert Fisk: The West is horrified by children's slaughter now. Soon we'll forget
- 5 Simon Kelner: The giant confidence trick that twisted politics for ever
- 6 Dominic Lawson: For a nation of non-conformists it feels like we're in North Korea
- 7 Leading article: Egypt's elections leave its divisions unresolved
- 8 The Daily Cartoon
- 9 Lance Price: Pull the other one, Tony. You let Murdoch shape policy
- 10 The dark side of Dubai
- 1 Robert Fisk: Clinton's $33m raid on Pakistan shows that, in the end, hypocrisy will win
- 2 Brazil rocked by abortion for 9-year-old rape victim
- 3 Brilliant pupil's 'logical' suicide
- 4 Robert Fisk: The West is horrified by children's slaughter now. Soon we'll forget
- 5 Sex in dressing rooms and Play School presenters 'stoned out of their minds' - inside BBC Television Centre
- 6 'Hello mum, this is going to be hard for you to read ...'
- 7 Alien: The monster returns?
- 8 UN condemns Syria after massacre of civilians
- 9 Coke reveals its secret: It may need to carry a cancer warning
- 10 French in uproar over oral sex anti-smoking posters
Experience the Heineken Hub
Get free wi-fi and exclusive i content while you enjoy a tasty pint of Heineken at participating pubs.
Can you imagine a career in teaching?
Be inspired to teach - let real teachers show you how rewarding the job can be.
Playing a game-changing role during the Games
Cisco is providing the solutions for London 2012's complex IT needs.
Enter the latest Independent competitions
Win anything from gadgets to five-star holidays on our competitions and offers page.
Business videos from commercial thought leaders
Watch the best in the business world give their insights into the world of business.
Career Services
'I may be deaf, but you can still talk to me'



Comments