Personal Finance: Will the Net `bubble' last?
Saturday 12 June 1999
Earlier this week Dixons, the electrical chain, confirmed plans for a separate flotation of Freeserve, its free Internet service, which has racked up more than one million new customers since launch in late 1998. Valuations of Freeserve range from pounds 1.8bn to pounds 3bn.
Is Freeserve - and the many other Internet-linked firms whose dizzying rise in share prices have confounded stockmarket experts - really worth that much?
On 19 April, some Wall Street watchers thought the crash had come. The 15 constituent companies in the Dow Jones Internet Commerce Index fell by a record 17 per cent while the technology-heavy Nasdaq Index recorded its second-worst points fall, down 138.43 or 5.6 per cent. Yet, since then, it has been back to normal for many Internet stocks, taking the up elevator.. Two days later Nasdaq roared up 6.1 per cent.
The Internet feeding frenzy has been mostly an US phenomenon, but it has not entirely passed the UK by. On 1 January, 1998, the new FTSE Information Technology sub-index began. It had a bumpy ride last year but managed to outperform the FTSE All-Share by about 25 per cent.
In the first three months of 1999, Dixons itself was the FTSE 100's top performing share.
On 1 April this year, the FTSE International set up the Internet Index, with just eight shares, six of which are listed on AIM (the Alternative Investment Market). One, AIM-listed firm, Voss Net, that markets e-commerce software, was the London market's top performer in March, up almost 140 per cent. Other firms in the new index are: Dialog Corporation; Gresham Computing; Easynet; Intelligent Environment Group; Internet Technology Group; Netcall, and VirtualInternet.net.
As with many Internet investments, there are big promises of jam tomorrow. Edward Forwood, of stockbroking firm Durlacher, admits: "There is an element of speculative bubble", and believes it would be very difficult for private investors to pick the eventual Internet winners over other companies that he writes off as a mixture of "doggy and dodgy".
Most of the few Internet firms with stock market quotations have actually floated only a small proportion of their shares. Lack of supply has helped boost prices to stellar heights. Which brings us back to Dixons, now considering the flotation of its Freeserve subsidiary, apparently.
As a pure Internet service provider Freeserve might be worth maybe pounds 250m, according to analysts at Fletcher Research, but as an e-commerce provider in the future it is likely that you could add at least another nought to that number. In fact, William Reeve, at Fletcher Research says: "Freeserve's relationship with its users is deeper than merely as a website, so it may be able to aspire to become a major e-commerce player," and he suggests a possible value of around pounds 3bn.
The next question is how much of your hard-earned savings should you consider putting into Internet stocks? - as a private investor, only the gambling money that you can afford to lose.
Edward Forwood of Durlacher says individuals looking for exposure to the internet should consider Framlington's new NetNet fund, launched in April. It is the first UK-based unit trust dedicated to investing in Internet and Internet-related companies. You may invest from pounds 1,000 as a lump sum, or from pounds 50 per month. It is managed by the same team that set up an US-based Internet fund in August 1996: that's grown by an annualised 106 per cent since then.
The NetNet fund, available in both Maxi and Mini ISAs, as well as a unit trust, aims to invest roughly 40 per cent in pure Internet plays, such as Amazon and eBay, with the balance being in other companies which either generate revenue through the Net or have a strategic commitment to it. The fund has an annual management fee of 1.75 per cent with an initial charge of 5.25 per cent.
NetNet Fund: www. framlington-netnet.com
Life & Style blogs
Twitter not working: Social network says problem with tweets not showing is fixed
Alexander Wang for H&M: Pumping video of the campaign filmed in London has been released
Watch what happened when food critics were unknowingly served McDonald's
What do the text messages between you and your partner reveal about your relationship?
Controversy over Queen's 'first tweet' at London's Science Museum
Of course, teenage girls need role models – but not like beauty vlogger Zoella
Cameron is warned 'no possibility' of UK reducing immigration and that bid to bring in quota on migrant workers would be illegal
Support for EU membership 'at highest level since 1991' with most Brits wanting to stay 'in'
Tony Blair 'says Ed Miliband will lose 2015 general election'
Thousands with degenerative conditions classified as 'fit to work in future' – despite no possibility of improvement
Putin: The US is to blame for almost all the world's major conflicts
- 1 Revolutionary lost Caravaggio painting 'Mary Magdalen in Ecstasy' identified
- 2 McKamey Manor: This 'extreme' haunted house is the stuff of nightmares
- 3 Russell Brand says he will 'probably' give up acting to focus on his revolution
- 4 Watch what happened when food critics were unknowingly served McDonald's
- 5 David Beckham's Haig Club whisky is exactly what’s wrong with the Highlands
£110 - £200 per day: Randstad Education Leeds: Secondary Maths Teacher for spe...
£40000 - £50000 Per Annum Excellent benefits: Clearwater People Solutions Ltd:...
£30000 - £35000 Per Annum Excellent benefits: Clearwater People Solutions Ltd:...
£35000 - £40000 Per Annum Excellent benefits: Clearwater People Solutions Ltd:...