Nuts and bahts of expertise
Sunday 02 March 1997
The process of deciding where to invest is known as asset allocation. In tracker funds, which follow the performance of a particular stock market index, it is comparatively simple: the fund either invests in all the shares that make up the index, or a representative sample.
With active management, it is another story. Methods differ and there are few hard and fast rules but the starting point will be the nature of the fund and its area of operations. Both unit and investment trusts are grouped in sectors. Some sectors are geographic (the UK, Europe or Far East); some are defined by objectives, in terms of income or capital growth; others are defined by the nature of their investments - for example, smaller companies or property shares.
In many of the larger fund management groups there is a house policy, which determines the framework within which fund managers should operate. This is generally decided at board or senior management level, based on economic and market forecasts, which may not be in line with consensus.
To take one example, Phillips & Drew Fund Managers achieved considerable publicity, some would say notoriety, last year for increasing the proportion of its funds held in cash, rather than shares. This policy was based on a strongly held conviction by Tony Dye, the firm's investment supremo, and his senior colleagues that stock markets on both sides of the Atlantic were set to slide.
While PDFM professes not to be embarrassed that the markets have continued to climb, believing that the bears are still lurking around the corner, the policy has been the source of much public comment and more than a few smiles in its competitors' private dining rooms.
In the case of international funds, houses will usually have country weightings, which determine the proportion of funds to be invested in each market.
So fund managers investing in continental Europe may well be underweight in Italy, because of political uncertainty, while a number of Asian funds have reduced their Thai holdings because of concerns about the economy and prospects for the local currency, the baht.
But there has been no sign of a flight from Hong Kong before the handover to China. Seasoned China watchers believe Peking is determined not to imperil Hong Kong's success, and are describing it as "the New York of the new China". Philip Saunders, a director of Guinness Flight, which has launched a unit trust to invest in the region, says: "Hong Kong is already playing a pivotal role in China's emergence as an economic superpower." His view is echoed by other fund managers, who are increasing Hong Kong holdings.
Finally comes stock-picking: the point at which a fund manager examines the performance of specific companies to see if they match his criteria for investment. This can be likened to a series of filters, generally based both on financial performance and prospects, and on the outlook for specific business or industrial sectors.
Financial filters can relate to such factors as gearing (the level of borrowing relative to shareholders' funds) and profitability. While companies that are highly geared may well earn good profits, some fund managers think that the management will be spending too much time talking to their bankers and not enough on the business.
Most funds lay down strict financial criteria. And however promising the prospects for a specific company may be, if it fails to clear these hurdles, it will not qualify for the shortlist.
Sector filters can be positive or negative. At Invesco, for example, Claire Griffiths, who runs the pounds 70m European Smaller Companies fund, highlights luxury goods manufacturers and knowledge-based businesses as particularly promising performers, but keeps a strict cap on holdings in "glamour" sectors such as biotechnology, because of the risks and volatility.
Not many of us have the time, the skills, or indeed the inclination to investigate fund managers, but it is worth paying some attention to the details of where and how a fund invests.
If you are planning to invest through a PEP you need to be aware of the limits on qualifying investments. These are generally seen as limiting investors to UK and European funds, apparently ruling out some of the international growth opportunities.
With planning and fund selection, however, it is possible to end up with 60 per cent of your PEP invested internationally.
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