Investment Column: Aggreko has some powerful attractions


Aggreko

Our view: buy

Share price: 1,678p (+84p)

The earthquake and tsunami in Japan were so horrific it feels wrong even to recognise that there may be beneficiaries. But as life goes on, and the recovery swings into action, beneficiaries there will be.

One such is Aggreko. The temporary power provider's shares rallied yesterday as the market welcomed the news that the company is to supply power to Japan to make up for some of the shortfall from the nuclear plants crippled by the disaster.

Under the deal with the Tokyo Electric Power Company (Tepco) – which faces criticism over radiation leakage from the worst-hit nuclear facility at Fukushima Daiichi – Aggreko will install gas and diesel-fired power plants in the Tokyo Bay area to supply 200 megawatts of power.

"Within a few days of the disaster, Aggreko entered into discussions with Tepco to bring additional power to the grid," Rupert Soames, the Aggreko chief executive, said yesterday. "Aggreko is pleased it is able to be of assistance to the country at this very difficult time."

The group is already on a roll. Its shares have rocketed by more than a third over the past 12 months. And Aggreko's Japanese contract win comes hot on the heels of full-year financial results showing revenues up by 17 per cent and profits up a quarter – funding a 50 per cent dividend rise and an extra £150m return of capital.

The only slight drag is that 2010 saw a whopping £87m boost from power supply contracts for no less than three major sporting events, the World Cup, the Winter Olympics and the Asian Games, which will make the comparators tougher this year. But leaving that aside, Aggreko still expects similar trading profits throughout 2011. Moreover, the London Olympics power supply contract kicks in next year.

To be sure, there have been questions from analysts about the impact from the upheavals in the Middle East. But with so many growth opportunities, Aggreko still has plenty of potential headroom.



Cranswick

Our view: hold

Share price: 790p (-41p)

The last time we looked at Cranswick, the food producer had impressed us enough to merit a positive view. Yesterday, it issued an update on the final quarter of its financial year, reporting higher volumes, but slower revenue growth. The key talking point, in our view, was the cautious outlook statement, which sent the shares lower. Cranswick, which supplies major supermarkets, warned that, while it expected the performance in the year to March to be broadly in line with the board's hopes, the picture for the 12 months to next March suggested that the period may prove "more demanding than usual".

This should not be surprising as the UK consumer environment remains far from inspiring. Moreover, Cranswick trades on undemanding multiples of under 12 times forward earnings, according to Panmure Gordon.

The broker did, however, revise its view in light of the outlook. We are inclined to agree. This is a good company with an affordable stock, but we think investors should remain mindful of the wider economic picture.



YouGov

Our view: hold

Share price: 51.25p (+0.5p)

If you took a straw poll of YouGov's management, they would probably say they were looking to the future with some confidence, especially after yesterday's solid first-half results, showing a 27 per cent rise in revenues.

In particular, the group's plan to target the US looks to have been vindicated. With strong organic growth, and several acquisitions, it is now the company's largest region. Yesterday, YouGov also unveiled the takeover of Definitive Insights, which will bring market research strength on the US West Coast. In the UK, revenues rose 20 per cent in the first half, while Scandinavia was up 12 per cent. The company was also helped by a lower than expected tax charge.

The real problem area for YouGov has been Germany. It looks like it needs more time and, crucially, more money to resolve the issues. Despite the businesses remaining profitable, revenues fell 12 per cent. The company will hope the imminent announcement of a new chief executive will mark a turning point. That, and a pretty full valuation of 17 times forward earnings, means that we would hold back from buying just yet.

Start your day with The Independent, sign up for daily news emails
Life and Style
love + sex A new study has revealed the average size - but does that leave men outside the 'normal' range being thought of as 'abnormal'?
Arts and Entertainment
TV
Voices
The Palace of Westminster is falling down, according to John Bercow
voices..says Matthew Norman
Sport
Steve Bruce and Gus Poyet clash
football
Arts and Entertainment
Jake and Dinos Chapman were motivated by revenge to make 'Bring me the Head of Franco Toselli! '
arts + ents Shapero Modern Gallery to show explicit Chapman Brothers film
Arts and Entertainment
Kurt Cobain performing for 'MTV Unplugged' in New York, shortly before his death
music Brett Morgen's 'Cobain: Montage of Heck' debunks many of the myths surrounding the enigmatic singer
Life and Style
life
ebooks
ebooksA special investigation by Andy McSmith
Sport
Brendan Rodgers
football The Liverpool manager will be the first option after Pep Guardiola
Arts and Entertainment
Myanna Buring, Julian Rhind-Tutt and Russell Tovey in 'Banished'
TV Jimmy McGovern tackles 18th-century crime and punishment
Arts and Entertainment
Paul Whitehouse as Herbert
arts + ents
Sport
Christian Benteke of Aston Villa celebrates scoring the winner for Aston Villa
football
News
Bill O'Reilly attends The Hollywood Reporter 35 Most Powerful People In Media Celebration at The Four Seasons Restaurant on April 16, 2014 in New York City
media It is the second time he and the channel have clarified statements
Latest stories from i100
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Independent Dating
and  

By clicking 'Search' you
are agreeing to our
Terms of Use.

iJobs Job Widget
iJobs Money & Business

Recruitment Genius: Sales Executive - OTE £40,000

£15000 - £18000 per annum: Recruitment Genius: This is a great opportunity for...

Austen Lloyd: Law Costs HOD - Southampton

£50000 - £60000 per annum + Excellent Salary: Austen Lloyd: An outstanding new...

SThree: Recruitment Resourcer

£20000 - £21000 per annum + uncapped commission: SThree: As a graduate you are...

Ashdown Group: Junior Application Support Analyst - Fluent German Speaker

£25000 - £30000 per annum + benefits: Ashdown Group: A global leader operating...

Day In a Page

Syrian conflict is the world's first 'climate change war', say scientists, but it won't be the last one

Climate change key in Syrian conflict

And it will trigger more war in future
How I outwitted the Gestapo

How I outwitted the Gestapo

My life as a Jew in wartime Berlin
The nation's favourite animal revealed

The nation's favourite animal revealed

Women like cuddly creatures whilst men like creepy-crawlies
Is this the way to get young people to vote?

Getting young people to vote

From #VOTESELFISH to Bite the Ballot
Poldark star Heida Reed: 'I don't think a single bodice gets ripped'

Poldark star Heida Reed

'I don't think a single bodice gets ripped'
The difference between America and Israel? There isn’t one

The difference between America and Israel? There isn’t one

Netanyahu knows he can get away with anything in America, says Robert Fisk
Families clubbing together to build their own affordable accommodation

Do It Yourself approach to securing a new house

Community land trusts marking a new trend for taking the initiative away from developers
Head of WWF UK: We didn’t send Cameron to the Arctic to see green ideas freeze

David Nussbaum: We didn’t send Cameron to the Arctic to see green ideas freeze

The head of WWF UK remains sanguine despite the Government’s failure to live up to its pledges on the environment
Author Kazuo Ishiguro on being inspired by shoot-outs and samurai

Author Kazuo Ishiguro on being inspired by shoot-outs and samurai

Set in a mythologised 5th-century Britain, ‘The Buried Giant’ is a strange beast
With money, corruption and drugs, this monk fears Buddhism in Thailand is a ‘poisoned fruit’

Money, corruption and drugs

The monk who fears Buddhism in Thailand is a ‘poisoned fruit’
America's first slavery museum established at Django Unchained plantation - 150 years after slavery outlawed

150 years after it was outlawed...

... America's first slavery museum is established in Louisiana
Kelly Clarkson: How I snubbed Simon Cowell and become a Grammy-winning superstar

Kelly Clarkson: How I snubbed Simon Cowell and become a Grammy-winning superstar

The first 'American Idol' winner on how she manages to remain her own woman – Jane Austen fascination and all
Tony Oursler on exploring our uneasy relationship with technology with his new show

You won't believe your eyes

Tony Oursler's new show explores our uneasy relationship with technology. He's one of a growing number of artists with that preoccupation
Ian Herbert: Peter Moores must go. He should never have been brought back to fail again

Moores must go. He should never have been brought back to fail again

The England coach leaves players to find solutions - which makes you wonder where he adds value, says Ian Herbert
War with Isis: Fears that the looming battle for Mosul will unleash 'a million refugees'

The battle for Mosul will unleash 'a million refugees'

Aid agencies prepare for vast exodus following planned Iraqi offensive against the Isis-held city, reports Patrick Cockburn