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Politics Explained

Does the latest polling mean the SNP faces being wiped out?

As the polls show Labour gaining significant ground on the once mighty SNP, Sean O’Grady looks at the implications for the party in Scotland and Westminster

Thursday 17 August 2023 16:02 BST
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Humza Yousaf’s personal ratings have improved in recent weeks
Humza Yousaf’s personal ratings have improved in recent weeks (PA)

The latest polling by YouGov shows that the gap between the Scottish National Party and Labour north of the border has decreased significantly since the last exercise in April, ie before the surprise resignation of Nicola Sturgeon and the disarray that followed.

In terms of voting intention for MPs at a Westminster general election, the SNP is still ahead of Labour – but by only four points, at 36 per cent to 32 per cent. This represents the lowest vote share for the SNP since 2018, while for Labour it is the best result since the 2014 independence referendum.

In the poll four months ago, the SNP had a nine-point lead over Labour, at 37 per cent to 28 per cent.

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