Hamish McRae: Unlike politicians, the markets are seeing sense

It is strange, isn't it? The markets are being more adult about all this than the politicians. The mass of conflicting stories coming out of Brussels have, of course, had an impact on share and bond prices. When Angela Merkel managed to win support from her parliament for beefing up the European support fund, shares moved up. When reports came out that the banks were deadlocked over the size of the Greek "haircut", they fell back.

But – and this is the big point – they are not in headless chicken mode. Italy managed to sell some bonds to the market yesterday, albeit short-dated ones, but at an OK price. Share prices worldwide have sustained a decent recovery from the wobble in the summer after the fears about a Greek default began to gel. And now they have greeted the prospect of some more weeks of uncertainty with a weary sigh.

There will probably be a modest European recession and that will drag down the world economy as a whole. There are huge uncertainties about the robustness of the banks. But the plain fact is that most large international corporations have reasonably sound finances.

It would be an exaggeration to say that the world economy can operate irrespective of what happens to the eurozone. Europe remains an important trading area. But the lesson of the past few days is that while the world economy needs Europe, it can cope with its difficulties – assuming European leaders gets their act together.

Independent Comment
blog comments powered by Disqus
Career Services

Day In a Page

'I may be deaf, but you can still talk to me'

'I may be deaf, but you can still talk to me'

Being a teenager is hard enough – for those with hearing loss, it can be even more complicated
A right royal trip down the river

A right royal trip down the river

A new exhibition celebrates the glory days of London's mighty Thames
The 10 Best lawn mowers

The 10 Best lawn mowers

From petrol-fuelled to self-propelled
Every second counts

Why does life appear to speed up as we get older?

Matilda Battersby finds out how the clock plays tricks with our minds
Couture on the Croisette: Fashion hits

Couture on the Croisette

The best outfits from the 2012 Cannes Film Festival
Child of the revolution: the Burmese family that democracy brought back together

Home of the free

The Burmese family that democracy brought back together
Cannes review: Canine accolade and Hitler's return are high spots amid the gloom

Cannes review

Frocks, canine accolade and Hitler's return
Robert Fisk: The going price of getting away with murder... would $33m be enough?

The going price of getting away with murder

Robert Fisk: The long view
Principled Skinner rises above the fray

Principled Skinner rises above the fray

Andy McSmith meets Dennis Skinner
Patrick Cockburn: I fear this terrible massacre will be the beginning of a long civil war in Syria

Patrick Cockburn

I fear this terrible massacre will be the beginning of a long civil war in Syria
Hardeep Singh Kohli: For me, it is all about 'Gregory's Girl', a record of first love

Hardeep Singh Kohli

For me, it is all about 'Gregory's Girl', a record of first love
Christian Louboutin: 'I don't think comfort equals happiness'

Christian Louboutin interview

'I don't think comfort equals happiness'
Happy birthday, Hotel Babylon!

Happy birthday, Hotel Babylon!

Hollywood's home to the A-list celebrates 100 years of discreet luxury
Rupert Cornwell: Low-rise capital could finally reach for the sky

Rupert Cornwell: Out of America

Low-rise capital could finally reach for the sky
The secret life of the red carpet

The secret life of the red carpet

As Cannes reaches its climax with the Palme d'Or and the celebrities gather in London for the Baftas tonight, Kate Youde and Jack Dean investigate the real star of the show