The failure to reach an agreement with Europe, which is a real possibility, would be acceptable in the short-term and positive in the long. Out of the top five export markets, three are outside the EU
If a good opportunity were to arise to build a Trump Tower in St Petersburg could the managers go ahead? They certainly couldn’t without his knowledge, and if they did to what extent might that compromise relations with Russia?
This week, let’s start by looking for technologies that will transform the next ten years, in the same way that the iPhone did in the past decade
Big data looks at the billions of decisions that people are making at the very moment that they make them, and then uses artificial intelligence to analyse the data to figure out what might be useful and what is not. No human could do this, for there is just too much stuff
Nearly 70 per cent of final demand comes from consumption and consumers don’t react to political events in the stark way economists expected. Remember more than half the voters got the decision they wanted, so why should they suddenly panic?
As yet we don’t fully measure these changes that have taken place. If you are reading this on a Facebook feed, you are doing so because you have signalled that this is the sort of stuff you are interested in. Facebook has cleverly directed this to you
From Trumponomics to mortgage rates to clashes with China, these are the global indicators which will let us know early if we're headed for success or recession
One banker said at the beginning of 2016: ‘Sell everything except high-quality bonds. This is about return of capital, not return on capital. In a crowded hall, exit doors are small.’
What really matters is whether the US continues to be a growing and successful economy over the next four years – and one that manages to share the fruits of that growth a bit more evenly too
An Italian no to reform is 'in the market', in that this outcome is the expected one. But this year has taught us that you never know the outcome of a popular vote
For many years the Common Market and EU membership worked well for Italy. It enjoyed rapid growth in the 1950s and 1960s. At the end of the 1980s GDP in Italy briefly passed that of the UK and France. But since 2000 the Italian economy has barely grown at all
Italy's third largest bank Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena has a non-performing loan ratio of 43.6 per cent – that means that on nearly half its loans, the borrowers cannot even pay the interest, let alone repay the loan itself
From fake news to the Autumn Statement, the market's reaction to Trumponomics and Donald Trump's appointments
The cut in corporation tax would reduce the incentive to shuffle money offshore – countries that compete by having low corporation tax rates would suddenly find that advantage swept away. The playing field would be levelled towards the US
In the UK it is quite true that young people have seen the sharpest fall in their incomes, which are lower on average than they were 15 years ago. This is partly because of the rise of the unpaid internship – nowadays, these often take the place of entry level jobs
From the US bond markets, the Trump Administration’s cabinet, the position of Federal Reserve’s Janet Yellen, China’s say on trade relations to the UK’s fiscal policy the post-Trump world will start to take order