Rupert Cornwell: A spectacular volte-face in the spiritual home of capitalism
Wednesday, 15 October 2008
The sum, when set against the stratospheric amounts promised by governments of far smaller economies, is relatively modest. But even at "only" $250bn (£143bn), Washington's plan to part-nationalise some of the country's largest banks is an astonishing – if inevitable – volte-face by the country that sees itself as the spiritual home of unadulterated free-market capitalism.
Not that such things haven't happened here before. During the Great Depression, the federal authorities spent the then-considerable sum of $1.3bn on stakes in 6,000 banks. In the end, it got most of its money back. In 1984, the Government took over Continental Illinois Bank when it came to grief over bad oil loans, that era's equivalent of securities backed by dud mortgages. Like Bear Stearns and AIG, (but not Lehman Bros), Continental Illinois was deemed too big to fail.
This time around, the direct injection of public capital into banks in the form of preferred shares, coupled with a temporary Government guarantee of new debt, was the solution advocated by many academic economists, as the quickest way to rebuild trust and get the banks lending again. It was also the one favoured by Fed chairman Ben Bernanke – a recognised expert on the Great Depression and the policy mistakes which helped make it happen.
But Mr Bernanke's views at first did not prevail. Instead, the Bush administration, led by Treasury Secretary and former Goldman Sachs alumnus Henry Paulson, rammed its $700bn bailout package through Congress, based on the Treasury buying up "toxic" mortgage-related assets of the banks. These latter would remain in full private ownership.
That scheme however proved too slow and too arbitrary to cope with the direst financial emergency since the 1930s. Yesterday Mr Bush and Mr Paulson were forced to swallow their pride and their ideological principles.
"Government owning a stake in any private US company is objectionable to most Americans, me included," Mr Paulson declared. "But the alternative of leaving businesses and consumers without access to financing is totally unacceptable."
The President himself chimed in, declaring the plan "an essential short-term measure" to ensure the viability of America's banking system, boost growth and preserve jobs. For Mr Bush the operative word is "short-term". The programme, he said, was intended to enable banks to buy the shares back, once markets had stabilised and capital could once more be raised from private investors. This may happen and the government may get its money back and more, just as occured once the Depression ended. But one final thought is in order.
This near-unprecedented intervention has been carried out by a Republican administration, in theory as conservative as they come. As matters stand, the next President seems likely to be a Democratic Senator, with one of the most liberal voting records in Congress. He will work with a strongly Democratic House, while his party could emerge from the election with a filibuster-proof 60-40 seat majority in the Senate. What further indignities might then be heaped on America's battered free market?
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Comments
11 Comments
If the Democrats win a clean sweep, they will need to be careful not to be saddled with total responsibility for the economic mess: it will take time, and some tough measures, to get sorted out. Let's see what Obama's strategy will be to deal with the aftermath of the honeymoon period. If he's lucky, the worst will be over by then. If not, he could rapidly become very unpopular.
Posted by Mitchell N Beard | 15.10.08, 23:59 GMT
Socialism rescues capitalism. Golleee--hooray. Both political views are fair and offer something.
To USA-- actuually don't want either of your prospective presidents to 'restore America to rule the world'; the rest of the world likes good ideas to rule the world and this may or may not be from America. Yes, we know you have your bizarre right wing fundamentalist Christian nutters, but if they elect another fool like Bush then the rest of the world will treat the USA with the contempt massively increased by Bush.
Posted by Ian | 15.10.08, 20:52 GMT
Iran says economic crises is God's punshiment on the "Great Satan". Top Cleric Ayatollah Jannati says he is very happy to see American economy collapse. Last year Iran's Supreme leader said US would sink. God would send down Divine Retribution for US crimes in Iraq. US forces killed innocent people. Iran says US destroyed the shrine of God's Holy Saint in 2006. This invited God's wrath. Now its time for Divine Payback. When you hae blood on your hands, and you mess with God's holy frineds, He would destory your power. Iran is celebrating as American dream is being demolished.
For 21st century America, the headlines are shocking:
American dream turns to Nightmare.
Wall Street humiliated by nationalisation of banks.
Death of American Free-market capitalism.
US banks beg for government handouts...
Public to suffer more pain as fear of recession spreads
Posted by Ali | 15.10.08, 15:41 GMT
I have been trying to understand credit default swaps, mainly because i never knew they existed. My first reaction was: And this gambling is legal? By extension, when I read about Paulson's first plan to buy or guarantee the toxic assets held by the gamblers, I thought: This sounds like a government sponsored credit default swap. How ironic! It is interesting that no one knew that authority to buy into banks was included in the second bail out proposal, until after it had been passed adnd signed by Bush. No one should be surprised at US government intervention. The thing about US citizens that the world does not understand is that Americans are against government until they need it, like in a hurricane or a financial collapse. It is a self defeating proposition. Strip the government down and then complain that nothing ever gets done.
Posted by jimT | 15.10.08, 10:29 GMT
The Americans always know how to fight back and set wrongs right. In a few years time, American capitalism will rise again. It is mistaken to view American intervention same as British's as we here tend to get things very wrong very often. For example, none of the things that Brown put together has so far worked. His BOE+ FSA regulations failed in Northern Rock and Bradford and Brigley cases. His injection of billions of pounds of cash to banks without instruments of oversight will flounder. Just look at how he sank billions into NHS and all that money went to managers and GPs who work less number of hours. Not much improvement in front line services. Sure Mandelson was seen too quickly for his problems but my neighbour is waiting to been after 4 months with the same problem.
We will see the bust all around. The Socialism which has seen benefits to undeserved rocket will also see the bankers pocketing billions even after nationalisation.
Posted by James | 15.10.08, 10:12 GMT
Theres this Indian Chief and his braves come to him and ask Is it going to be a cold winter? He doesnt know. Hes a modern Indian who lives in a trailer, watches TV, and drives a pick-up truck. But he doesnt want to admit ignorance, so he says yes, it will be a cold winter. So the braves go out gathering firewood.
Later on, the chief phones the weather forecasters, just to make sure. They say yes, indeed, it will be a cold winter. He tells his braves, and they go out for more wood.
Later still, he checks with the weather forecasters again. This time they say it is going to be a really, really, cold winter. So the braves go out for as much wood as they can carry.
The next time the chief phones the weather forecasters, they say the coming winter is going to break all records for cold. He says Wait a minute, how can you be so sure? They reply Well the Native Americans are gathering firewood like crazy!
This is how financial markets work. Are you surprised it's a mess?
Posted by John Davies | 15.10.08, 09:28 GMT
I guess the criminals in Washington looked down and gulped.
The ideas of Milton Friedman have been proven for what they are: Utter Hogwash
Posted by monkframe | 15.10.08, 06:11 GMT
Disney has also decided to open a branch in Bagdad, soon after Iraqis cash in their first shipment of oil revenue.
Well done Mickey!
Posted by mack | 15.10.08, 05:46 GMT
Who doesn't believe in fairy tales ?
Well; a remote island nation of 310,000 fishermen became a leading international financial powerhouse brokering multi-billion dollar deals; surely this is a fairy tale come true.
Sadly the end of the story is just codswallop; just so sad that even amongst the highly educated; the tendency to believe that there is a fairy godmother who can turn cod fish into gold defies all logic !
Posted by Something_Fishy | 15.10.08, 03:57 GMT
Good grief; Socialism in USA; can it be true ?
When the going gets tough at the top and all around you is failing then a voluntary return to socialist ideals in Washington would have been unthinkable 1 month ago; anyone who made such a proposal would have been dispensed to the nearest luntic asylum.
But it has happened; a week in politics is indeed a long time; it appears that a month in politics exceeds a lifetime !
Hey folks; it is time to eat humble pie !
Posted by Worm-has-turned | 15.10.08, 03:45 GMT
11 Comments