League Two preview: York value to bounce back

 

It's only a small card in League Two on Saturday with 13 out of 24 clubs still involved in the FA Cup but the section has nonetheless managed to throw up a couple of value bets good enough to grace any weekend preview.

The root cause of our contention with the bookmakers appears to be a fixture played last weekend, the losers of which we are now looking to support and the winners we are happy to oppose. The game in question was at the very bottom of the coupon where Torquay emerged triumphant over York.

At face value, you'd be inclined to think it was a one-sided affair in which the seasoned campaigners made light work of fragile newcomers but, reading between the lines, we're not convinced it was all that comprehensive. Neither are we buying into the notion that it was a defining moment in the season for both sides.

Allowances should be made for the fact that York boss Gary Mills was down in the dumps afterwards, bemoaning the dwindling confidence of his troops as they wasted several chances to seize the initiative, but we reckon he's being a tad harsh on himself and his players. He ought to be markedly more upbeat after a week to reflect.

The Minstermen might be winless in seven, a sequence that has seen them drop into the bottom eight, but they've been very competitive for most of the campaign and appear to be paying a heavy price for drawing eight out of ten matches against teams who currently reside in the top half.

However, we can use that knowledge to our advantage by keeping the stalemate onside ahead of their trip to Rochdale. When you look back on their efforts on the road at Port Vale, Cheltenham, Bradford and Exeter, it's easy to see value in the 6/4 available on York (draw no bet).

The case is only enhanced by the sense of stage fright that besieges the Lancashire outfit in front of their own fans, much to the annoyance of John Coleman. Dale have only won three out of 13 matches at Spotland this term (or nine out of 39 if you stretch the timeframe back to the beginning of last season) and their Scouse gaffer is convinced the problem is purely psychological.

So both teams have mental barriers to overcome, which means it's hardly likely to a classic, but pressure tends to weigh slightly less on the shoulders of the away side in such scenarios and the value is with the Minstermen at the prices.

A much better spectacle should be expected at Plainmoor where Torquay will be looking to put their renewed impetus to good use against a free-spirited Dagenham & Redbridge outfit but our position is much the same. The pre-match excitement is provided by the 13/8 draw-no-bet price available on the visitors.

John Still's men have been busy bloodying the nose of much bigger fish in recent weeks and they deserve a bit more respect on the back of their exploits against the likes of Oxford, Rotherham, Burton and Fleetwood in recent weeks. The Daggers have taken nine points from those last four matches, scoring 11 goals in the process.

Martin Ling is still talking Torquay up as a formidable proposition at home after an eight-match unbeaten start, conveniently forgetting that the Gulls were hammered 4-1 by Southend only last week, which was hardly the ideal response to being dumped out of the FA Cup by Harrogate in their previous home match.

We're not quite as bold on this bet as we are the headline tip, so we'll stake accordingly. But Daggers get the nod.

Betting advice...

2pts York to beat Rochdale (draw no bet) at 6/4 (William Hill)

Both sides have mental barriers to overcome but the away side offer decent value.

1pt Dagenham & Redbridge to beat Torquay (draw no bet) at 13/8 (William Hill)

Daggers have been hitting high standards in recent weeks and deserve more respect.

For more betting advice, visit Best of the Bets by clicking here.

Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Arts and Entertainment
The Ridiculous Six has been produced by Adam Sandler, who also stars in it
filmNew controversy after nine Native American actors walked off set
Life and Style
Google celebrates Bartolomeo Cristofori's 360th birthday
techGoogle Doodle to the rescue
Life and Style
Drinking - often heavily - is a running theme throughout HBO's Game of Thrones adaptation
food + drink
News
Florence Welch from Florence + the Machine
people
News
people
Caption competition
Caption competition
  • Get to the point
Latest stories from i100
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?

Bleacher Report

Daily Quiz
Independent Dating
and  

By clicking 'Search' you
are agreeing to our
Terms of Use.

Career Services

Day In a Page

Fishing for votes with Nigel Farage: The Ukip leader shows how he can work an audience as he casts his line to the disaffected of Grimsby

Fishing is on Nigel Farage's mind

Ukip leader casts a line to the disaffected
Who is bombing whom in the Middle East? It's amazing they don't all hit each other

Who is bombing whom in the Middle East?

Robert Fisk untangles the countries and factions
China's influence on fashion: At the top of the game both creatively and commercially

China's influence on fashion

At the top of the game both creatively and commercially
Lord O’Donnell: Former cabinet secretary on the election and life away from the levers of power

The man known as GOD has a reputation for getting the job done

Lord O'Donnell's three principles of rule
Rainbow shades: It's all bright on the night

Rainbow shades

It's all bright on the night
'It was first time I had ever tasted chocolate. I kept a piece, and when Amsterdam was liberated, I gave it to the first Allied soldier I saw'

Bread from heaven

Dutch survivors thank RAF for World War II drop that saved millions
Britain will be 'run for the wealthy and powerful' if Tories retain power - Labour

How 'the Axe' helped Labour

UK will be 'run for the wealthy and powerful' if Tories retain power
Rare and exclusive video shows the horrific price paid by activists for challenging the rule of jihadist extremists in Syria

The price to be paid for challenging the rule of extremists

A revolution now 'consuming its own children'
Welcome to the world of Megagames

Welcome to the world of Megagames

300 players take part in Watch the Skies! board game in London
'Nymphomaniac' actress reveals what it was really like to star in one of the most explicit films ever

Charlotte Gainsbourg on 'Nymphomaniac'

Starring in one of the most explicit films ever
Robert Fisk in Abu Dhabi: The Emirates' out-of-sight migrant workers helping to build the dream projects of its rulers

Robert Fisk in Abu Dhabi

The Emirates' out-of-sight migrant workers helping to build the dream projects of its rulers
Vince Cable interview: Charging fees for employment tribunals was 'a very bad move'

Vince Cable exclusive interview

Charging fees for employment tribunals was 'a very bad move'
Iwan Rheon interview: Game of Thrones star returns to his Welsh roots to record debut album

Iwan Rheon is returning to his Welsh roots

Rheon is best known for his role as the Bastard of Bolton. It's gruelling playing a sadistic torturer, he tells Craig McLean, but it hasn't stopped him recording an album of Welsh psychedelia
Russell Brand's interview with Ed Miliband has got everyone talking about The Trews

Everyone is talking about The Trews

Russell Brand's 'true news' videos attract millions of viewers. But today's 'Milibrand' interview introduced his resolutely amateurish style to a whole new crowd
Morne Hardenberg interview: Cameraman for BBC's upcoming show Shark on filming the ocean's most dangerous predator

It's time for my close-up

Meet the man who films great whites for a living