World Cup 2014: 'El Niño' weather phenomenon could put paid to England’s chances of World Cup glory this summer

Unbearably high temperatures caused by global weather phenomenon could affect in England in their last two group games

While football fans across the country might fear the right foot of Andrea Pirlo or the goalscoring talents of Luis Suarez could put paid to England’s chances of World Cup glory this summer, according to climate researchers at The University of Reading it is a more unforeseen and unpredictable foe that could scupper their World Cup campaign.

Climate experts from The University of Reading have warned that there is a high chance that Brazil could be hit with a weather phenomenon that leads to a sharp rises in temperature and almost unbearable football playing conditions.

According to those that have carried out the research, the El Niño phenomenon, which means “The Little One” in English, has a 60 per cent chance of occurring in the summer and might affect England’s last two home games.

The El Niño is part of a of a meteorological cycle that comes around every half a decade and has a impact on temperatures, sea levels and the rainfall worldwide.

South America is often one of the worst affected areas, with Brazil the host nation of this year’s World Cup tournament often suffering from sharp temperature rises and drought.

And University of Reading researchers believe that it is these conditions that England players might have to contend when they World Cup starts on the June 12.

Dr Nicholas Klingaman Postdoctoral Research Scientist in climate cycles at the University of Reading said: "If it does occur, it would increase the risk of uncomfortably hot and dry conditions in Brazil during June and July,"

Dr Klingaman was particularly worried about England’s last two group games which are set to take place in Sao Paolo and Belo Horizonte respectively.

He said: "El Niño will affect southern and eastern parts of the country, where England are playing their second and third group games.”

In February, England manager Roy Hodgson came out and said that the heat in Brazil would not affect his England team's chances in Brazil and that they would have to "get on with it." Nevertheless, the talk of even hotter conditions could be a major worry for the England national team who traditionally do not perform as well at World Cups in warmer climates.

Their two best performances in World Cups so far have happened in Europe - when they won it on home soil in 19666 and came fourth at Italia 90.

Outside of the milder conditions in Europe, England has never been able to make it past the quarter-final stages of the competition.

One of the hottest games England has ever competed in at a World Cup was their group stage clash with Brazil at Mexico World Cup 1970.

Having to play in the midday Guadalajaran heat due to television rights, temperatures pushed 40C.

 

And if “El-Nino” does occur in Brazil this summer, temperatures are expected to get up near the heat Bobby Moore and his boys faced in Guadalajara that day.

"While a one degree increase may seem insignificant, not all days will be affected equally," Dr Klingaman said.

"Extreme temperatures often change by much more than the monthly average. A one degree increase in the monthly average is equivalent to half of all days warming by two degrees, or one-third of all days warming by three degrees."

The news comes just a day after Us scientists said there was an 80 per cent chance of El Niño causing global weather changes later this year.

The return of El Niño: US scientists say there is 80% chance of extreme disruption to world's weather later this year

However, England fans might want to take some solace in the fact that forebodings by meteorologists have not always been the most accurate when it comes to predicting the arrival of El Nino.

In 2012, US scientists estimated that there was a 75 per cent chance of El Niño raising its extremely hot head. However, it never appeared.

Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Caption competition
Caption competition
Latest stories from i100
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?

Bleacher Report

Daily Quiz
Independent Dating
and  

By clicking 'Search' you
are agreeing to our
Terms of Use.

Day In a Page

Abuse - and the hell that came afterwards

Abuse - and the hell that follows

James Rhodes on the extraordinary legal battle to publish his memoir
Why we need a 'tranquility map' of England, according to campaigners

It's oh so quiet!

The case for a 'tranquility map' of England
'Timeless fashion': It may be a paradox, but the industry loves it

'Timeless fashion'

It may be a paradox, but the industry loves it
If the West needs a bridge to the 'moderates' inside Isis, maybe we could have done with Osama bin Laden staying alive after all

Could have done with Osama bin Laden staying alive?

Robert Fisk on the Fountainheads of World Evil in 2011 - and 2015
New exhibition celebrates the evolution of swimwear

Evolution of swimwear

From bathing dresses in the twenties to modern bikinis
Sun, sex and an anthropological study: One British academic's summer of hell in Magaluf

Sun, sex and an anthropological study

One academic’s summer of hell in Magaluf
From Shakespeare to Rising Damp... to Vicious

Frances de la Tour's 50-year triumph

'Rising Damp' brought De la Tour such recognition that she could be forgiven if she'd never been able to move on. But at 70, she continues to flourish - and to beguile
'That Whitsun, I was late getting away...'

Ian McMillan on the Whitsun Weddings

This weekend is Whitsun, and while the festival may no longer resonate, Larkin's best-loved poem, lives on - along with the train journey at the heart of it
Kathryn Williams explores the works and influences of Sylvia Plath in a new light

Songs from the bell jar

Kathryn Williams explores the works and influences of Sylvia Plath
How one man's day in high heels showed him that Cannes must change its 'no flats' policy

One man's day in high heels

...showed him that Cannes must change its 'flats' policy
Is a quiet crusade to reform executive pay bearing fruit?

Is a quiet crusade to reform executive pay bearing fruit?

Dominic Rossi of Fidelity says his pressure on business to control rewards is working. But why aren’t other fund managers helping?
The King David Hotel gives precious work to Palestinians - unless peace talks are on

King David Hotel: Palestinians not included

The King David is special to Jerusalem. Nick Kochan checked in and discovered it has some special arrangements, too
More people moving from Australia to New Zealand than in the other direction for first time in 24 years

End of the Aussie brain drain

More people moving from Australia to New Zealand than in the other direction for first time in 24 years
Meditation is touted as a cure for mental instability but can it actually be bad for you?

Can meditation be bad for you?

Researching a mass murder, Dr Miguel Farias discovered that, far from bringing inner peace, meditation can leave devotees in pieces
Eurovision 2015: Australians will be cheering on their first-ever entrant this Saturday

Australia's first-ever Eurovision entrant

Australia, a nation of kitsch-worshippers, has always loved the Eurovision Song Contest. Maggie Alderson says it'll fit in fine