Green Bay made for New Orleans


Last September, readers of this column were advised to support the Green Bay Packers to win Super Bowl XXXI at a pre-season price of 7-1. Four months later, the odds about the Pack emerging victorious in New Orleans next weekend are pretty much the same, save for the important addition of the "on".

One of betting's more worthwhile dictums is that no one ever went broke by taking a profit. Even so, anyone with 7-1 against the Packers will surely be throwing bad money after good if they save on the New England Patriots at a top-priced 9-2.

True, home-field advantage - in particular acclimatisation to an average wind-chill of minus 20 degrees - has assisted Green Bay thus far, but their strength in every department is so overwhelming that the question is surely not whether Green Bay will win next Sunday, but by how much.

Or, put another way, will the Packers cover the spread? Early odds from one British bookie quoted both teams at 5-6, with Green Bay conceding just a 101/2-point start, but the line in Las Vegas opened at 14 points and it has now settled at around the two-touchdown mark in Britain too. It is quite a start to overhaul, but with dome conditions likely to favour high scoring, the Pack must be fancied to beat New England as thoroughly as did the Chicago Bears, by 46-10, in 1986.

Cautious punters may be prepared to take 8-11 with the Tote, who give Green Bay just an 111/2-point start, but there seems little danger in giving away two more points in return for odds of 10-11 (Hills).

Only Coral have so far priced up the first Test between the New Zealand and England cricketers, which begins on Friday. The weather - i.e. the draw - is clear favourite, at 5-4, with England 7-4 and the hosts 9-4.

The Kiwi national side is at almost as low an ebb as England's at present. Even so, 9-4 looks an excellent price for the home side, as does 2-1 for a series victory for New Zealand with the same firm in a list that the bookmakers are betting to a 1.5 per cent profit margin.

SUPER BOWL XXXI (New Orleans, Sunday): Best prices: 2-9 Green Bay (Tote), 9-2 New England (Hills). Handicaps: Tote: 8-11 Green Bay, evens New England (+111/2). Hills: 10-11 Green Bay, 10-11 New England (+131/2). NEW ZEALAND v ENGLAND CRICKET TEST SERIES: Best series prices: 2-1 NZ (Coral), 6- 4 England (Ladbrokes), 5-2 drawn (Tote).

FootballGerman sparks three goals in four minutes at favourite No 10 role
Rumer was diagnosed with bipolarity, attention deficit hyperactivity disorder and post-traumatic stress disorder: 'I was convinced it was a misdiagnosis'
peopleHer debut album caused her post-traumatic stress - how will she cope as she releases her third record?
A long jumper competes in the 80-to-84-year-old age division at the 2007 World Masters Championships
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Radamel Falcao was forced to withdraw from the World Cup after undergoing surgery
premier leagueExclusive: Reds have agreement with Monaco
Arts and Entertainment
'New Tricks' star Dennis Waterman is departing from the show after he completes filming on two more episodes
tvHe is only remaining member of original cast
Life and Style
Walking tall: unlike some, Donatella Versace showed a strong and vibrant collection
fashionAlexander Fury on the staid Italian clothing industry
Arts and Entertainment
Gregory Porter learnt about his father’s voice at his funeral
Arts and Entertainment
tvHighs and lows of the cast's careers since 2004
Life and Style
Children at the Leytonstone branch of the Homeless Children's Aid and Adoption Society tuck into their harvest festival gifts, in October 1936
food + drinkThe harvest festival is back, but forget cans of tuna and packets of instant mash
Lewis Hamilton will start the Singapore Grand Prix from pole, with Nico Rosberg second and Daniel Ricciardo third
F1... for floodlit Singapore Grand Prix
New Articles
Life and Style
Couples have been having sex less in 2014, according to a new survey
Caption competition
Caption competition
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Daily Quiz
Independent Dating

By clicking 'Search' you
are agreeing to our
Terms of Use.

Career Services
iJobs Job Widget
iJobs General

Volunteer Trustee opportunities now available at The Society for Experimental Biology

Unpaid Voluntary Position : Reach Volunteering: Volunteer your expertise as Tr...

Early Years Educator

£68 - £73 per day + Competitive rates of pay based on experience: Randstad Edu...

Nursery Nurse

£69 - £73 per day + Competitive London rates of pay: Randstad Education Group:...

Primary KS1 NQTs required in Lambeth

£117 - £157 per day + Competitive London rates: Randstad Education Group: * Pr...

Day In a Page

Scottish referendum: The Yes vote was the love that dared speak its name, but it was not to be

Despite the result, this is the end of the status quo

Boyd Tonkin on the fall-out from the Scottish referendum
Manolo Blahnik: The high priest of heels talks flats, Englishness, and why he loves Mary Beard

Manolo Blahnik: Flats, Englishness, and Mary Beard

The shoe designer who has been dubbed 'the patron saint of the stiletto'
The Beatles biographer reveals exclusive original manuscripts of some of the best pop songs ever written

Scrambled eggs and LSD

Behind The Beatles' lyrics - thanks to Hunter Davis's original manuscript copies
'Normcore' fashion: Blending in is the new standing out in latest catwalk non-trend

'Normcore': Blending in is the new standing out

Just when fashion was in grave danger of running out of trends, it only went and invented the non-trend. Rebecca Gonsalves investigates
Dance’s new leading ladies fight back: How female vocalists are now writing their own hits

New leading ladies of dance fight back

How female vocalists are now writing their own hits
Mystery of the Ground Zero wedding photo

A shot in the dark

Mystery of the wedding photo from Ground Zero
His life, the universe and everything

His life, the universe and everything

New biography sheds light on comic genius of Douglas Adams
Save us from small screen superheroes

Save us from small screen superheroes

Shows like Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D are little more than marketing tools
Reach for the skies

Reach for the skies

From pools to football pitches, rooftop living is looking up
These are the 12 best hotel spas in the UK

12 best hotel spas in the UK

Some hotels go all out on facilities; others stand out for the sheer quality of treatments
These Iranian-controlled Shia militias used to specialise in killing American soldiers. Now they are fighting Isis, backed up by US airstrikes

Widespread fear of Isis is producing strange bedfellows

Iranian-controlled Shia militias that used to kill American soldiers are now fighting Isis, helped by US airstrikes
Topshop goes part Athena poster, part last spring Prada

Topshop goes part Athena poster, part last spring Prada

Shoppers don't come to Topshop for the unique
How to make a Lego masterpiece

How to make a Lego masterpiece

Toy breaks out of the nursery and heads for the gallery
Meet the ‘Endies’ – city dwellers who are too poor to have fun

Meet the ‘Endies’ – city dwellers who are too poor to have fun

Urbanites are cursed with an acronym pointing to Employed but No Disposable Income or Savings
Paisley’s decision to make peace with IRA enemies might remind the Arabs of Sadat

Ian Paisley’s decision to make peace with his IRA enemies

His Save Ulster from Sodomy campaign would surely have been supported by many a Sunni imam