Cardigan fits Coronation profile for William Haggas

 

It might seem closer to recklessness than optimism to favour a mere maiden winner over a filly who last month surged nine lengths clear of her rivals in a Classic. But Cardigan (3.45) represents a trainer of such circumspect judgement that her very presence in the field qualifies her as a most intriguing candidate for the Coronation Stakes today.

William Haggas always places his horses with the utmost care. This is not the sort of trainer to wreck a horse's future in handicaps merely to give his patrons a picnic at Royal Ascot. By finishing "only" fourth in the Oaks last month, for instance, Vow took the trainer's record in Epsom Classics to two winners from three runners. If Haggas believes Cardigan to have elite calibre, he would only squander a rating of 88 if satisfied that she should cut to the chase.

On the face of it, regardless of her ability, Cardigan might seem doomed by inexperience today. She has run only once in her life, in a Haydock maiden last September, but Haggas won the Derby itself when Shaamit had a pretty similar profile. The bare form at Haydock, arresting as her performance was, is neither here nor there. Yes, she took a useful yardstick seven lengths clear of the rest; and yes, she is bred to come into her own over another two furlongs today. But the key factor is rather the sheer quality of her stable's three-year-old fillies this season. Three of them won races just on the day that Vow ran in the Oaks, while Sentaril was beaten only a length in the Jersey Stakes on Wednesday. Haggas, in other words, should know just where he stands.

Maybe would have set the standard, but has dropped out after bruising a foot. It is difficult to know what to make of her Ballydoyle stablemate, Homecoming Queen, after her failure to back up a freakish Newmarket performance in her home Guineas – where Samitar for once resembled the filly who won the Albany Stakes on this card last year.

All things being equal, an authoritative winner of that race, this time round, will surely be back for the Coronation next year. With eight unbeaten records on the line, however, it is impossible to know which filly will make most improvement and The Gold Cheongsam (2.30) is suggested merely as each-way value in a race where maidens tend to do well.

The Derby form is tested by Astrology and Thought Worthy in the King Edward VII Stakes, but both would be pardoned if running flat so soon after a tough race and there may be better value about the Warren Place pair – notably Thomas Chippendale (3.05), who can accelerate his progress at this trip.

Minimise Risk never threatened in the Derby and steps up to two miles for the Queen's Vase but the extreme test looks ideal for the royal runner, Estimate (5.0). In two slippery handicaps, meanwhile, Gatewood (4.25) and Lightning Cloud (5.35) provide a firmer foothold than most.

The Turf Account

Chris McGrath's nap

Tmaam (7.55 Goodwood)

Next best

Gatewood (4.25 Ascot)

Suggested Topics
PROMOTED VIDEO
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Arts and Entertainment
musicBand's first new record for 20 years has some tough acts to follow
News
peopleAt least it's for a worthwhile cause
Voices
A new app has been launched that enables people to have a cuddle from a stranger
voicesMaybe the new app will make it more normal to reach out to strangers
News
Liam Payne has attacked the media for reporting his tweet of support to Willie Robertson and the subsequent backlash from fans
peopleBut One Direction star insists he is not homophobic
Life and Style
healthFor Pure-O OCD sufferers this is a reality they live in
Life and Style
Sexual health charities have campaigned for the kits to be regulated
healthAmerican woman who did tells parents there is 'nothing to be afraid of'
Caption competition
Caption competition
Latest stories from i100
Daily Quiz
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Independent Dating
and  

By clicking 'Search' you
are agreeing to our
Terms of Use.

Career Services
iJobs Job Widget
iJobs General

Pharmaceutical Computer System Validation Specialist

£300 - £350 Per Day: Clearwater People Solutions Ltd: Pharmaceutical Computer ...

High Level Teaching Assistant (HTLA)

£70 - £90 per day: Randstad Education Birmingham: Higher Level Teaching Assist...

Teaching Assistant

£50 - £80 per day: Randstad Education Birmingham: Randstad Education is the UK...

Senior Java Developer - API's / Webservices - XML, XSLT

£400 - £450 Per Day: Clearwater People Solutions Ltd: Our client is currently ...

Day In a Page

A roller-coaster tale from the 'voice of a generation'

Not That Kind of Girl:

A roller-coaster tale from 'voice of a generation' Lena Dunham
London is not bedlam or a cradle of vice. In fact it, as much as anywhere, deserves independence

London is not bedlam or a cradle of vice

In fact it, as much as anywhere, deserves independence
Vivienne Westwood 'didn’t want' relationship with Malcolm McLaren

Vivienne Westwood 'didn’t want' relationship with McLaren

Designer 'felt pressured' into going out with Sex Pistols manager
Jourdan Dunn: Model mother

Model mother

Jordan Dunn became one of the best-paid models in the world
Apple still coolest brand – despite U2 PR disaster

Apple still the coolest brand

Despite PR disaster of free U2 album
Scottish referendum: The Yes vote was the love that dared speak its name, but it was not to be

Despite the result, this is the end of the status quo

Boyd Tonkin on the fall-out from the Scottish referendum
Manolo Blahnik: The high priest of heels talks flats, Englishness, and why he loves Mary Beard

Manolo Blahnik: Flats, Englishness, and Mary Beard

The shoe designer who has been dubbed 'the patron saint of the stiletto'
The Beatles biographer reveals exclusive original manuscripts of some of the best pop songs ever written

Scrambled eggs and LSD

Behind The Beatles' lyrics - thanks to Hunter Davis's original manuscript copies
'Normcore' fashion: Blending in is the new standing out in latest catwalk non-trend

'Normcore': Blending in is the new standing out

Just when fashion was in grave danger of running out of trends, it only went and invented the non-trend. Rebecca Gonsalves investigates
Dance’s new leading ladies fight back: How female vocalists are now writing their own hits

New leading ladies of dance fight back

How female vocalists are now writing their own hits
Mystery of the Ground Zero wedding photo

A shot in the dark

Mystery of the wedding photo from Ground Zero
His life, the universe and everything

His life, the universe and everything

New biography sheds light on comic genius of Douglas Adams
Save us from small screen superheroes

Save us from small screen superheroes

Shows like Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D are little more than marketing tools
Reach for the skies

Reach for the skies

From pools to football pitches, rooftop living is looking up
These are the 12 best hotel spas in the UK

12 best hotel spas in the UK

Some hotels go all out on facilities; others stand out for the sheer quality of treatments