Pandorama can give Meade due reward in Gold

Chaser in classic mould can crown unforgettable week for Irish by defeating three past winners of blue riband

The race should certainly match its billing, as a showdown between the old guard and a young pretender – but not necessarily in the way everyone expects. The Totesport Cheltenham Gold Cup today brings together three horses who have between them won the last four runnings, and a new star in Long Run. But their contrasting profiles are also represented, at much better odds, by two others in the field: the old rogue Tidal Bay and a rising force in Pandorama.

Most punters have long given up on Tidal Bay. It would generally be considered the height of credulity to be taken in by his strong finish against Imperial Commander, last year's Gold Cup winner, at Haydock in November. The theory goes that Imperial Commander had committed a long way out, and was simply idling on the run-in as Tidal Bay, having made his usual protests as the screw was turned, finally deigned to pass a few beaten horses. Tidal Bay ran an almost identical race on his only start since, at Cheltenham in January, all but tailed off before charging after the winner late on.

Maddening as he is, the demands of this race are ideally tailored to his idiosyncrasies. He has always adored the hill here, and especially the hectic tempo of Festival races – beaten only a neck as a novice hurdler, and then returning over fences the following season to win the Arkle by 13 lengths.

His strike rate since is singularly unimpressive, but he has largely been confined to small fields and showed the engine is still intact when reverting to hurdles for a decisive success – off a strong pace – in the Cleeve Hurdle last season. That was also the first time he was ridden by Brian Hughes, a blossoming talent who seems increasingly attuned to Tidal Bay's quirks.

At 20-1, Tidal Bay looks a viable each-way bet for those prepared to tolerate his fits and starts. Regardless of the consensus about the Haydock race, he had sprinted past Imperial Commander barely strides after the post.

Most of us would be reluctant, however, to risk a win bet on a horse who leaves all the fortitude to his backers. Pandorama provides a very wholesome contrast. He is tough, reliable and progressive, and has won all bar two of his career starts, pardonably outpaced by Mikael d'Haguenet over hurdles, when that horse was in unstoppable form; and soon pulled up on his first visit to these shores, at Newbury last autumn, having made an early mistake and then been hampered.

That disappointment left him at a crossroads, but he emphatically took the right turn on his only subsequent start, thrashing seasoned Grade One operators in the Lexus Chase at the Leopardstown Christmas meeting. Apart from at Newbury, his only previous start at three miles had been at the same fixture last season, when he rallied to beat the subsequent RSA Chase winner Weapon's Amnesty.

Here we have a staying chaser in the classic Gold Cup mould, big-hearted and bold, who has only just started out in his optimal discipline. True, he missed out on valuable experience when a setback ruled him out of the Hennessy Gold Cup last month – won by Kempes, who was probably held when unseating two out in the Lexus. But the notorious Festival vicissitudes of Pandorama's trainer, Noel Meade, have sometimes been traced to the use of too much fuel in the first half of the season. Coming here with a fresh horse could well help one of the best men in the game redress all those years of heartache. It would be no less an injustice were Paul Carberry to retire without winning a Gold Cup.

The weather forecast offers reassurance with regard to the one big reservation about Pandorama. Rain is expected this morning and, given that Meade has otherwise proposed withdrawing the horse, that is just as well. If it turns really soft, Pandorama would become an outstanding bet at 12-1.

It would be fantastic to see Kauto Star win his third Gold Cup, and excuses have been found for his submission at Kempton last time. But it is contentious to claim that he only needs to be forgiven one disappointing run. The alternative view, that he has now looked past his peak three times running, would seem readily sustained by the passing of the years.

His stablemate Denman is surely approaching the brow of the hill, despite running with characteristic honesty under a huge weight on his only start of the season. He has since undergone a wind operation, and at 11 it is hard to picture him producing the career best he may yet need today.

That is thanks to the presence of Long Run, who confirmed himself top-class when deposing Kauto Star at Kempton. But while other explanations have been quite plausibly proposed, defeat in both previous visits implies that he is less effective on this track. His gifted amateur partner may find that the horse simply requires too much organising at his fences, for too long, to have enough left for the hill.

And what of the one who sets the gold standard? Imperial Commander's absence since November presents no problem to a horse with such a good record fresh. But not a single horse that completed behind him last year has won a race since, and all the hype about Kauto Star and Denman may have given a dangerous sheen to his performance. His stable is not in especially convincing form.

The opposite is true of Pandorama, who can crown an incredible, indelible week for the Irish.

Charity bet

During the Festival, top Flat trainers give their views from the other side of the fence on jump racing's showcase occasion. Totesport is providing a free £100 stake, with any winnings going to their chosen charity.

Richard Hannon Reigning champion trainer

In the Gold Cup I'll put the money on Long Run, who was so very impressive when winning the King George at Kempton.

News
scienceExcitement from alien hunters at 'evidence' of extraterrestrial life
Life and Style
Customers can get their caffeine fix on the move
food + drink
Sport
sport
Sport
David Moyes gets soaked
sport Moyes becomes latest manager to take part in the ALS challenge
PROMOTED VIDEO
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Life and Style
techCould new invention save millions in healthcare bills?
News
peopleEnglishman managed quintessential Hollywood restaurant Chasen's
Life and Style
food + drinkHarrods launches gourmet food qualification for staff
Voices
Mosul dam was retaken with the help of the US
voicesRobert Fisk: Barack Obama is following the jihadists’ script
Arts and Entertainment
Michael Flatley prepares to bid farewell to the West End stage
danceMichael Flatley hits West End for last time alongside Team GB World champion Alice Upcott
News
Members and supporters of the lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender (LGBT) community walk with a rainbow flag during a rally in July
i100
Life and Style
Black Ivory Coffee is made using beans plucked from elephants' waste after ingested by the animals
food + drinkFirm says it has created the "rarest" coffee in the world
Arts and Entertainment
Loaded weapon: drugs have surprise side effects for Scarlett Johansson in Luc Besson’s ‘Lucy’
filmReview: Lucy, Luc Besson's complex thriller
Arts and Entertainment
Jamie T plays live in 2007 before going on hiatus from 2010
arts + entsSinger-songwriter will perform on the Festival Republic Stage
Life and Style
food + drinkThese simple recipes will have you refreshed within minutes
News
Jermain Defoe got loads of custard
i100
Caption competition
Caption competition
Latest stories from i100
Daily Quiz
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Have you tried new the Independent Digital Edition apps?
Independent Dating
and  

By clicking 'Search' you
are agreeing to our
Terms of Use.

Career Services
iJobs Job Widget
iJobs General

Business Analyst - Banking - London - £550 - £650

£550 - £650 per day: Orgtel: Business Analyst - Traded Credit Risk - Investmen...

Data Insight Manager - Marketing

£32000 - £35000 Per Annum: Clearwater People Solutions Ltd: Our client based o...

Data Centre Engineer - Linux, Redhat, Solaris, SAN, Puppet

£55000 per annum: Harrington Starr: A financial software vendor at the forefro...

.NET Developer

£600 per day: Harrington Starr: .NET Developer C#, WPF,BLL, MSMQ, SQL, GIT, SQ...

Day In a Page

All this talk of an ‘apocalyptic’ threat is simply childish

Robert Fisk: All this talk of an ‘apocalyptic’ threat is simply childish

Chuck Hagel and Martin Dempsey were pure Hollywood. They only needed Tom Cruise
French connection: After 1,300 years, there’s a bridge to Mont Saint-Michel

French connection: After 1,300 years, there’s a bridge to Mont Saint-Michel

The ugly causeway is being dismantled, an elegant connection erected in its place. So everyone’s happy, right?
Air strikes? Talk of God? Obama is following the jihadists’ script

Air strikes? Talk of God? Obama is following the jihadists’ script

The President came the nearest he has come yet to rivalling George W Bush’s gormless reaction to 9/11 , says Robert Fisk
Ebola outbreak: Billy Graham’s son declares righteous war on the virus

Billy Graham’s son declares righteous war on Ebola

A Christian charity’s efforts to save missionaries trapped in Africa by the crisis have been justifiably praised. But doubts remain about its evangelical motives
Jeremy Clarkson 'does not see a problem' with his racist language on Top Gear, says BBC

Not even Jeremy Clarkson is bigger than the BBC, says TV boss

Corporation’s head of television confirms ‘Top Gear’ host was warned about racist language
Nick Clegg the movie: Channel 4 to air Coalition drama showing Lib Dem leader's rise

Nick Clegg the movie

Channel 4 to air Coalition drama showing Lib Dem leader's rise
Philip Larkin: Misogynist, racist, miserable? Or caring, playful man who lived for others?

Philip Larkin: What will survive of him?

Larkin's reputation has taken a knocking. But a new book by James Booth argues that the poet was affectionate, witty, entertaining and kind, as hitherto unseen letters, sketches and 'selfies' reveal
Madame Tussauds has shown off its Beyoncé waxwork in Regent's Park - but why is the tourist attraction still pulling in the crowds?

Waxing lyrical

Madame Tussauds has shown off its Beyoncé waxwork in Regent's Park - but why is the tourist attraction still pulling in the crowds?
Texas forensic astronomer finally pinpoints the exact birth of impressionism

Revealed (to the minute)

The precise time when impressionism was born
From slow-roasted to sugar-cured: how to make the most of the British tomato season

Make the most of British tomatoes

The British crop is at its tastiest and most abundant. Sudi Pigott shares her favourite recipes
10 best men's skincare products

Face it: 10 best men's skincare products

Oscar Quine cleanses, tones and moisturises to find skin-savers blokes will be proud to display on the bathroom shelf
Malky Mackay allegations: Malky Mackay, Iain Moody and another grim day for English football

Mackay, Moody and another grim day for English football

The latest shocking claims do nothing to dispel the image that some in the game on these shores exist in a time warp, laments Sam Wallace
La Liga analysis: Will Barcelona's hopes go out of the window?

Will Barcelona's hopes go out of the window?

Pete Jenson starts his preview of the Spanish season, which begins on Saturday, by explaining how Fifa’s transfer ban will affect the Catalans
Middle East crisis: We know all too much about the cruelty of Isis – but all too little about who they are

We know all too much about the cruelty of Isis – but all too little about who they are

Now Obama has seen the next US reporter to be threatened with beheading, will he blink, asks Robert Fisk
Neanderthals lived alongside humans for centuries, latest study shows

Final resting place of our Neanderthal neighbours revealed

Bones dated to 40,000 years ago show species may have died out in Belgium species co-existed