A bear by the bird feeder in David Blanchflower’s garden

David Blanchflower: With central banks so passive, there's plenty of reasons to be bearish

Economic Outlook: Inflation is set to fall sharply, especially given the rapid decline in the oil price

David Blanchflower: Coming soon... the biggest U-turn yet as Osborne abandons austerity

Economic Outlook: The question is not if but when Mr Osborne will put more stimulusinto the economy

David Blanchflower: How much worse do things have to get before we get action?

Economic Outlook: Why not start temporary tax cuts and shovel ready projects right now?

David Blanchflower: The recession deniers have gone strangely quiet this month

Economic Outlook: We are in the slowest recovery for a century, with no end in sight

David Blanchflower: Sir Mervyn King missed the big one despite plenty of wake-up calls

Economic Outlook: King didn't need divine intervention, he should have looked at the data

David Blanchflower: The facts aren't going the Coalition's way, so it has resorted to spin

Economic Outlook: Misleadingly, Danny Alexander suggests the government has created 634,000 jobs

David Blanchflower: The Chancellor received plenty of warning

That was a big surprise. Not! Yesterday's figures came as absolutely no surprise to many of us who have warned for months that a double-dip recession was coming. I warned on 24 June 2010 that George Osborne's austerity budget "kills recovery at birth". I argued that "I am now convinced that as a result of this reckless Budget the UK will suffer a double-dip recession". It isn't as if our part-time Chancellor Osborne wasn't told. But he ignored the warnings by Robert Skidelsky, Paul Krugman, Martin Wolf, Ed Balls and others and even accused us of being "deficit deniers". Keynes turned out to be right. The shadow Chancellor has been vindicated.

David Blanchflower: The Bank needs a governor who grasps the real world

Economic Outlook: The economists failed. It is time for the practitioners to take over

David Blanchflower: Slasher Osborne's in deep trouble – as new growth gloom is about to show

Economic Outlook: Government cuts are set to become an even bigger drag on growth

David Blanchflower: After a week of nasty surprises it looks as if the Grinch is back

Economic Outlook: Any more nasty surprises and the MPC would likely extend the QE programme

David Blanchflower: Sorry, the economic picture is not going to look any better

Economic Outlook: Some commentators have argued that the poor GDP data shouldn't be believed

David Blanchflower: Ben Bernanke's history lesson: doing too little is worse than too much

Economic Outlook: Policy inaction in 1928 and 1929 and premature tightening were major errors

David Blanchflower: Better match for the Bank than Dartmouth

I arrived back in Blighty this morning to find the wires full of the news that my boss at Dartmouth College, Dr Jim Yong Kim, whom I know pretty well, had been nominated by President Obama to replace Robert Zoellick as president of the World Bank.

David Blanchflower: The OBR's credibility is in tatters

Chancellor is fiddling at the edges as the economy flatlines

News
Video: The Independent's Oscar Williams-Grut provides a run-down of the day's major news from the City
News
While the rest of us enjoy a lazy Sunday, bankers across Europe, and bank investors, will be having a nerve-jangling day, writes business editor Chris Blackhurst
News
Chancellor George Osborne (C) wears a high visibility jacket as he makes a visit to the Prysmian Group factory and speaks to factory manager Steve Price
We’re still waiting for the ‘march of the makers’ promised by George Osborne, writes Ben Chu
News
Video: The Independent's Alex Lawson provides a run-down of the day's major news from the City
News
Carrefour is now just 5 per cent more expensive on brands than Lidl in France
Eyes will be on the firm this Thursday as it unveils half-yearly results. It should look to France, where grocers can show UK retailers how to beat the discounters, says Alex Lawson
News
Video: The Independent's Jamie Dunkley provides a run-down of the day's major news from the City
News
As Philip Morris sues Uruguay over its health warnings, the tiny country has found itself a test case for big business lawsuits that could hit the EU, writes Jim Armitage
News
Many of America’s economic competitors find it difficult to embrace change, writes Satyajit Das
News
The ‘Oasis of the Seas’, the largest cruise ship in the world
Two of the largest vessels in the world cruised into UK waters last week. Simon Usborne measures up some giants of the sea
News
Video: The Independent's Jim Armitage provides a run-down of the day's major news from the City
News
Places like Clacton have been left behind by economic growth
Stopping immigration won’t create jobs. Unaffordable tax cuts targeted at the better-off won’t help the poor. The real answers are a lot harder than that, writes Jonathan Portes
News
Jimmy Choo, whose shoes are designed by Sandra Choi (left), only raised £545m from its London listing
As Virgin Money shelves plans to list on the stock market and designer Jimmy Choo endures a cut-price debut, James Moore considers the outlook for firms wanting to raise funds
Life and Style
‘People take personally what Marks does,’ says Belinda Earl
Maggie Pagano recently said Marks & Spencer's clothes for middle-aged women were frumpy and boring. Last week, she met its style director
News
Video: The Independent's Alex Lawson provides a run-down of the day's major news from the City
News
We should either stay out altogether, or put boots on the ground,’ says Simon Murray as he oversees operations in northern Iraq. ‘Haven’t we got the balls to do that?’
Simon Murray is famed for his views on women executives. Now he’s firmly in a man’s world: finding oil in a warzone
News
Tycoons' text: Warren Buffett and Bill Gates both cite John Brookes' 'Business Adventures' as their favourite book
Video: The Independent's Simon Neville provides a run-down of the day's major news from the City
News
Time to postpone the balanced budget: there’s no alternative to a boost in German domestic public spending and investment, writes Rupert Cornwell
News
FACUNDO ARRIZABALAGA | AFP | Getty Images

Video: The Independent's Jamie Dunkley provides a run-down of the day's major news from the City

News
The BBC’s studios at Media City in Salford, whose mayor typifies the kind of civic leader the regions need
After a decade of wage decline and falling tax receipts, it’s no surprise the deficit is proving hard to clear. Here’s a solution, says Nigel Wilson
News
Video: The Independent's Alex Lawson provides a run-down of the day's major news from the City
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Wilko Johnson, now the bad news: musician splits with manager after police investigate assault claims

Wilko Johnson, now the bad news

Former Dr Feelgood splits with manager after police investigate assault claims
Mark Udall: The Democrat Senator with a fight on his hands ahead of the US midterm elections

Mark Udall: The Democrat Senator with a fight on his hands

The Senator for Colorado is for gay rights, for abortion rights – and in the Republicans’ sights as they threaten to take control of the Senate next month
New discoveries show more contact between far-flung prehistoric humans than had been thought

New discoveries show more contact between far-flung prehistoric humans than had been thought

Evidence found of contact between Easter Islanders and South America
Cerys Matthews reveals how her uncle taped 150 interviews for a biography of Dylan Thomas

Cerys Matthews on Dylan Thomas

The singer reveals how her uncle taped 150 interviews for a biography of the famous Welsh poet
DIY is not fun and we've finally realised this as a nation

Homebase closures: 'DIY is not fun'

Homebase has announced the closure of one in four of its stores. Nick Harding, who never did know his awl from his elbow, is glad to see the back of DIY
The Battle of the Five Armies: Air New Zealand releases new Hobbit-inspired in-flight video

Air New Zealand's wizard in-flight video

The airline has released a new Hobbit-inspired clip dubbed "The most epic safety video ever made"
Pumpkin spice is the flavour of the month - but can you stomach the sweetness?

Pumpkin spice is the flavour of the month

The combination of cinnamon, clove, nutmeg (and no actual pumpkin), now flavours everything from lattes to cream cheese in the US
11 best sonic skincare brushes

11 best sonic skincare brushes

Forget the flannel - take skincare to the next level by using your favourite cleanser with a sonic facial brush
Paul Scholes column: I'm not worried about Manchester United's defence - Chelsea test can be the making of Phil Jones and Marcos Rojo

Paul Scholes column

I'm not worried about Manchester United's defence - Chelsea test can be the making of Jones and Rojo
Frank Warren: Boxing has its problems but in all my time I've never seen a crooked fight

Frank Warren: Boxing has its problems but in all my time I've never seen a crooked fight

While other sports are stalked by corruption, we are an easy target for the critics
Jamie Roberts exclusive interview: 'I'm a man of my word – I'll stay in Paris'

Jamie Roberts: 'I'm a man of my word – I'll stay in Paris'

Wales centre says he’s not coming home but is looking to establish himself at Racing Métro
How could three tourists have been battered within an inch of their lives by a burglar in a plush London hotel?

A crime that reveals London's dark heart

How could three tourists have been battered within an inch of their lives by a burglar in a plush London hotel?
Meet 'Porridge' and 'Vampire': Chinese state TV is offering advice for citizens picking a Western moniker

Lost in translation: Western monikers

Chinese state TV is offering advice for citizens picking a Western moniker. Simon Usborne, who met a 'Porridge' and a 'Vampire' while in China, can see the problem
Handy hacks that make life easier: New book reveals how to rid your inbox of spam, protect your passwords and amplify your iPhone

Handy hacks that make life easier

New book reveals how to rid your email inbox of spam, protect your passwords and amplify your iPhone with a loo-roll
KidZania lets children try their hands at being a firefighter, doctor or factory worker for the day

KidZania: It's a small world

The new 'educational entertainment experience' in London's Shepherd's Bush will allow children to try out the jobs that are usually undertaken by adults, including firefighter, doctor or factory worker