Brexit: Tony Blair says no-deal exit will lead to ‘really hard border’ in ‘devastating’ blow to peace process in Northern Ireland

‘It would be economically very, very dangerous for Britain, and for the peace process in Ireland it would potentially be devastating’

Lizzy Buchan
Political Correspondent
Sunday 10 February 2019 11:20
Tony Blair says hard border in Ireland inevitable in no-deal Brexit

Tony Blair has said that a no-deal Brexit will lead to a “really hard border” in Ireland that could prove “devastating” to the peace process.

The former Labour prime minister stepped up his warnings over the consequences of a disorderly exit from the EU, saying such a departure could lead to a breach in the Good Friday Aggreement and cause a “huge fissure” in the UK.

His comments came as Theresa May struggles to secure last-minute changes to the Irish backstop, ahead of a fresh Commons showdown this week.

Mr Blair, who has backed The Independent’s campaign for a Final Say vote, said a second referendum might happen “when people see what the true Brexit alternatives are”.

He told Sophy Ridge On Sunday: “No one could responsibly propose (a no-deal Brexit). It would be economically very, very dangerous for Britain, and for the peace process in Ireland it would potentially be devastating.

“You would have a hard border, very hard border.

“A no-deal Brexit means a really hard border between north and south in Ireland, it’s contrary to the Good Friday Agreement and it will cause an enormous fissure within the United Kingdom.”

An exclusive survey for The Independent found 53 per cent of voters would support postponing Britain’s departure from the European Union, opening the door to a second referendum or further talks with Brussels.

Mr Blair said: “I’ve never thought that you would get to another referendum going directly to it – you’ll get to it when people see what the true Brexit alternatives are. And the truth is there are two.

“You can have a soft Brexit, which is really what Jeremy Corbyn is suggesting, or you can have the hard Brexit that Boris Johnson and Nigel Farage and other people want.”

He said the type of Brexit must be decided before the UK leaves the EU, arguing that a lack of clarity would lead to a lack of “closure”.

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The ex-Labour leader said: “The argument just goes on, and by then you’ll have left, you’ll have paid your money up front, you’ll have given up your negotiating leverage.

“And for the country to do that, as Theresa May wants to do – to leave without knowing what Brexit you get – this would be, in my view, an incredibly foolish thing for the country to do. It’s got to know where we’re heading before we leave.”

Meanwhile, the head of the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) said the chances of a no-deal Brexit have increased and the country has now entered “the emergency zone”.

“It feels like the parliamentary process is in logjam, no way can be found through, so that prospect of no-deal feels much higher,” CBI director general Carolyn Fairbairn said.

“We really are in the emergency zone of Brexit now.”

Ms May travelled to Belfast, Brussels and Dublin this week for last-ditch talks after MPs ordered her to ditch the backstop mechanism, which acts as an insurance policy against a hard border in Ireland.

However the EU has repeatedly said it will not renegotiate the Brexit deal that took 18 months to secure.

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