Trump is ‘in big trouble’ on election day, Fox News GOP strategist warns

Conservative columnist warns that 2016 conditions do not exist for president in 2020

Donald Trump is “in big trouble” on election day tomorrow, a Republican strategist for Fox News has warned. 

Colin Reed says that Mr Trump will not benefit in 2020 from the conditions that propelled him to the White House over Hillary Clinton in 2016.

“Trump faces an ominous four-headed monster as campaign 2020’s hourglass winds down — factors that will reverberate down-ballot into Senate races,” wrote Mr Reed in his Fox News column.

Mr Reed said that a sign of trouble for the president was that he was having to campaign in state’s like Georgia and play “defense” in states he should already have secured.

The strategist also noted Joe Biden’s financial advantage over Mr Trump and that the coronavirus pandemic was “cresting at the worst possible time.”

Mr Reed wrote that overall the “most important” factor in the race was that Mr Biden “is not Hillary Clinton.”

“His approval numbers are right at 50 percent, according to Real Clear Politics, with his unfavourable marks sitting at 44,” he wrote.

“Clinton, by contrast, entered election day 2016 with her favourability 12 points underwater, 42-54 per cent.”

Mr Reed concluded that Mr Trump still has a chance of winning but that he is a long shot to win a second term.

“If Trump can somehow pull another rabbit out of his hat, it will be a greater political feat than even his remarkable 2016 victory,” he said.