Elizabeth Warren surges in 2020 election polls, overtaking Joe Biden in key state

Massachusetts senator tops the former vice president by nine points in California poll

Alex Woodward
Wednesday 25 September 2019 20:43
Elizabeth Warren at Washington Square Park

Elizabeth Warren is nine points ahead of former vice-president Joe Biden, until now the frontrunner in the race to be the Democratic presidential candidate, in a new poll of California voters ahead of 2020 elections.

The Massachusetts senator is on 29 per cent, up 11 since June, in the latest poll by the Institute of Government Studies at the University of California, Berkeley.

Results for Mr Biden and Vermont senator Bernie Sanders remained largely static compared to June results. The former vice-president dropped two points to 20 per cent while Mr Sanders climbed two points to 19 per cent.

The report suggests that some former supporters of Mr Biden have moved over to Ms Warren, while Mr Sanders supporters have largely stuck with him. Asked which candidates would rank in their top two choices, 54 per cent of respondents selected Ms Warren, and 77 per cent said they viewed her favourably.

California senator Kamala Harris, however, declined by five points since June and now polls at 8 per cent in her home state

The university polled 4,527 English- and Spanish-speaking voters in the state, including 2,272 voters likely to participate in the state’s 3 March 2020 primary

Meanwhile results from a nationwide poll from Quinnipiac University show Ms Warren ahead of Mr Biden by two points, just within that poll’s margin of error. The results show 27 per cent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents support Ms Warren.

Other recent poll results show a similarly neck-and-neck race between the two candidates. A survey by the Des Moines Register puts Ms Warren within the poll’s margin of error with a two-point lead over Mr Biden in Iowa, while New Hampshire’s Monmouth University poll gives him a two-point lead, also within that poll’s margin of error.

California will send 495 delegates to the Democratic National Convention, among the most of any state; 416 of those delegates will pledge to candidates who receive at least 15 per cent of the vote statewide. The poll’s margin of error is three per cen

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