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Eight games remain in the Premier League season, with champions Manchester City and challengers Liverpool the only teams left in contention to win the Premier League title.
The two clubs are currently separated by just one point, after their respective wins over Watford and Burnley this weekend.
The competitive standard they have both set has simply been too difficult for the rest of the pack to keep up with.
At this rate, one of Jurgen Klopp or Pep Guardiola will end in second place having managed one of the Premier League’s best-ever runners-up.
And whether City defend their crown or Liverpool end their 29-year wait for a domestic title will depend in part on how their fixtures fall in these final weeks and months.
By calculating the average points-per-game home and away of each top-flight club, we can weigh up the difficulty of their run-ins and see where the title may be won and lost.
Top 25 players in Premier League historyShow all 25 1 /25Top 25 players in Premier League history Top 25 players in Premier League history 25. Michael Carrick Behind Ronaldo and Rooney, the next-most important man to United’s recovery in the second half of the 2000s. He was a stylish player for Tottenham but over 11 seasons at Old Trafford he has given them the control that they lacked during their difficult years in the early 2000s. And he was even more important to their resurgence in Europe.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 24. Eden Hazard The most decisive attacking player in the Premier League of this decade, Hazard came to Chelsea from Lille in 2012. He was then Chelsea’s best player in their title wins of both 2015 and 2017, mixing an ability to burst past defenders with an eye for goal and a muscular physicality that opponents often under-estimated. And even then it feels like his very best football is still ahead of him.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 23. Didier Drogba The most important signing of the Jose Mourinho era at Chelsea, Drogba joined from Marseille in 2004 and once he established himself he was the perfect modern target man. His power, presence and goals were crucial to Mourinho’s Chelsea, and then to Carlo Ancelotti’s, and he won three titles before returning to help out in the 2014-15 title win too.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 22. Peter Schmeichel With all due respect to Petr Cech, Schmeichel is the greatest goalkeeper of the Premier League era, a man almost as important as Eric Cantona in giving Manchester United the presence, charisma and quality they needed to reassert themselves as the best team in the country in the 1990s. Won five titles at United, and played for Aston Villa and Manchester City afterwards.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 21. Luis Suarez Only played in the Premier League for three and a half years and yet he was so unforgettably good during his brief spell at Liverpool that he demands inclusion. His 2013-14 season remains the greatest single season by a player in Premier League history, when he scored 31 brilliant goals and came within inches of winning Liverpool’s first title for a generation. Wonder what he could have done in a better team? In his first year at Barcelona he won the Champions League.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 20. Sol Campbell During his long peak, Campbell was a mix of athleticism, bravery and intelligence, anchoring the Spurs defence for six seasons, Arsenal for five and Portsmouth, at their very best, for another three. He was one of the crucial signings who helped to take Arsenal to the next level, and to the 2001-02 and 2003-04 titles, even if that controversial free transfer move will never be forgiven by Tottenham fans.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 19. Sergio Aguero One of the greatest strikers of the Premier League era, and the man who provided its greatest ever moment. Aguero will always be known as the man whose 94th minute winner won the 2011-12 title for Manchester City. But that was just one of 122 Premier League goals he has scored in his six seasons in England, in four of which he has gone past 20. If he had stayed injury free he would even more.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 18. David Beckham Yet another star of the Manchester United treble-winning team, Beckham’s fame eventually transcended United, the Premier League and football itself after his move to Real Madrid in 2003. But before then he was a consistent, dangerous, hard-working midfielder who was as important as anyone to the six Premier League titles he won during his time at Old Trafford.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 17. Andy Cole Number three on the list of all-time top Premier League goalscorers with 187, Cole was a star of Kevin Keegan’s first great Newcastle United team. In 1995 he made a surprising transfer to Manchester United and after a slow start he was eventually a big success: he brilliantly partnered with Dwight Yorke in the treble season, before being sold to Blackburn in 2001.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 16. Michael Owen Like Rooney, a striker who almost suffered by achieving so much so early: Owen won two Premier League Golden Boots as a teenager and was electric between breaking into the Liverpool first team at 17 and leaving for Real Madrid at 24. He even won the Ballon d’Or. Did eventually get his medal, with Manchester United, but it is the first half of his career for which he will always be remembered.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 15. Paul Scholes Perhaps underappreciated at the peak of his powers, Scholes was the pass and move specialist at the heart of United’s great teams. He played some of his best football in the final years of his career, after overcoming an eye injury, and even came out of retirement in 2012, helping United to the 2012-13 Premier League title, the sixth of his career.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 14. David Silva Manchester City’s greatest ever player, Silva was signed from Valencia in 2010 and has now given them seven years of highly-skilled control in midfield. City would never have won their two Premier League titles without Silva pulling the strings and he has proven more consistent than his two best colleagues, Yaya Toure and Sergio Aguero.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 13. Dennis Bergkamp As important as Thierry Henry to the style and success of the early Arsene Wenger years, Bergkamp predated Wenger’s arrival but was his perfect representative on the pitch. Bergkamp was, in his own words, the ‘technical leader’ of those Arsenal teams and those three Premier League titles before his retirement would have been unimaginable without him.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 12. John Terry The last great old-fashioned centre-back, Terry was one of the building blocks of the great Chelsea team of the 2000s, and outlasted all of them, not leaving the club until 2017. He was the captain and defensive organiser behind four Premier League titles and was there for a fifth, under Antonio Conte, although by that point he was in a bit-part role.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 11. Wayne Rooney Went from teen prodigy at Everton to become leading man at Manchester United before returning to Goodison with five Premier League titles and 198 league goals. Happy to play up front, out wide or in midfield, always with the same audacity, conviction and skill. Questions he faces about whether he fulfilled his potential are a testament to just how good he was, and what he achieved, before the age of 25.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 10. Eric Cantona Not Manchester United’s best player of the Premier League era but one of the most important. He gave United the extra edge they needed when he arrived in 1992, inspiring them with his charisma and imagination, and a stylish approach to the game that stood out in the muddy early 90s. He only played four and a half seasons at United but it was more than enough to make his deep mark.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 9. Rio Ferdinand The most accomplished defender of the era, he was promising at West Ham United and Leeds United and then consistently brilliant during his 12 seasons at Manchester United. He won the league six times there, anchoring the defence of arguably the greatest English team of this century. Neither United nor England have known quite what to do since.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 8. Alan Shearer The Premier League’s greatest ever goalscorer, by far. His 260 goals is 62 more than second-placed Wayne Rooney, the result of terrorising defences from the league’s foundation in 1992 with Southampton until his retirement in 2006. He only won one title, with Blackburn, having joined Newcastle in 1996, but he was a hero there, overcoming knee injuries and staying dangerous.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 7. Steven Gerrard Surely the greatest Premier League player never to win a medal, Gerrard was the inspiration for almost 15 years’ worth of Liverpool teams. There has never been a Premier League midfielder quite like him, as powerful and spectacular, but he could never find the team to take him to the title. He came close in 2009 and closer in 2014, and unfortunately he will always be associated with that glorious failure.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 6. Patrick Vieira The first and best signing of Arsene Wenger’s Arsenal reign, he arrived as a 20-year-old who had not settled at Milan and left as a three-time Premier League winner. He was as much of a by-word for leadership, tenacity, resilience and skill under pressure as his great rival Roy Keane. There has not been a player truly like him or Keane in the 12 years since they both left.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 5. Frank Lampard Unmatchable as a consistent goalscoring midfielder: 10 consecutive seasons with double figures of Premier League goals. He was the intelligent engine of the great Chelsea teams through the 2000s, winning three league titles as well as the Champions League in 2012. He retired with 177 Premier League goals, the fourth most ever, having never even played up front once.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 4. Ryan Giggs No-one can match Giggs for longevity but he is about even more than that. His total of 13 Premier League medals will surely never be matched and he will also be remembered as a man whose game changed as his body did, more successfully than anyone ever. He was an explosive winger in the first great United team of the mid-1990s before, in the late 2000s and early 2010s, finishing off as a thoughtful midfielder.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 3. Roy Keane Behind Sir Alex Ferguson himself, the next most important man in establishing Manchester United’s Premier League hegemony was Roy Keane. Arrived as the British record signing in 1993 but then inspired United to the 1994 double, the 1996 double and best of all the 1999 treble. He was an imposing presence in midfield, and after he faded in the 2000s, United spent years trying to replace him.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 2. Thierry Henry Unlike Ronaldo, Henry gave the best years of his career to England, winning two Premier League titles and four Golden Boots during his long purple patch in the first half of the 2000s. He was Arsenal’s cutting edge and embodied their best qualities: speed, style, skill, imagination and class. He is the fifth top goalscorer in Premier League history, a remarkable achievement for a player who only spent seven seasons here.
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Top 25 players in Premier League history 1. Cristiano Ronaldo No player has ever dominated and decided the Premier League like Cristiano Ronaldo did for Manchester United between 2006 and 2009. Those three straight title-winning seasons – he won the 2008 Champions League too - remain the high-point for consistent performance in the history of this competition. And he was only 24 when he left for Real Madrid. Imagine what he could have achieved in England if he had stayed.
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Manchester City Current position: 1st
Points: 74
Average home/away points of opponents: 1.33
Remaining fixtures 30/03 Fulham (A)
06/04 Cardiff (H) *
14/04 Crystal Palace (A)
20/04 Tottenham (H)
24/04 Manchester United (A)
28/04 Burnley (A)
04/05 Leicester (H)
12/05 Brighton (A)
* Subject to change due to FA Cup
City’s schedule comes with two reminders of the last time they contested a Premier League title race with Liverpool five years ago.
The champions travel to Crystal Palace on the same afternoon that Liverpool host Chelsea, just as they did on a pivotal April day of the 2013-14 campaign.
And if that was not eerie enough, Brendan Rodgers will be given the chance to enact revenge when Leicester City visit the Etihad on the penultimate weekend.
But the key game in the remainder of this title race is likely to be City’s trip to Old Trafford on 24 April.
The Manchester derby will be City’s most difficult test. It will also be a game in hand over Liverpool, who play Fulham next weekend while their rivals are in FA Cup action.
It comes at a challenging time too. City host Tottenham four days before playing United, then face a tough trip to Burnley four days later.
Six points away to Fulham and at home against Cardiff will be expected.
The champions will also hope that Brighton are all but on the beach rather than fighting to stay up on the final day. Chris Hughton’s side can be a tough nut to crack at the Amex.
Top 25 managers in Premier League historyShow all 26 1 /26Top 25 managers in Premier League history Top 25 managers in Premier League history The top 25 Premier League managers To celebrate 25 years of the Premier League, our chief football writer Miguel Delaney runs through his 25 best managers.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 25. Alan Curbishley He became a supposedly mundane part of the Premier League furniture, but that is not to be dismissed, given how Charlton Athletic collapsed once he left and then kept West Ham United up with one of the great late rallies. Many managers would crave that kind of mundanity.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 24. Ron Atkinson His name will always be tarnished by his disgraceful comments about Marcel Desailly, but his actual Premier League career still had many more proven feats than so many contemporaries. He got Aston Villa to second, kept Coventry City up and then did the same with Sheffield Wednesday. Most of it was also with a certain on-pitch panache.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 23. Roy Evans Performed the impressive feat of getting Liverpool back on track after Graeme Souness, and playing some of the most entertaining football the Premier League has seen.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 22. Roy Hodgson Responsible for perhaps the greatest escape in Premier League history with Fulham, and it should not be forgotten that was a big somewhat justifiable reason he got the job that remains the greatest mark against his career: Liverpool. Hodgson was nowhere near that level, but the generally consistent level of all his other sides was way above so many other managers - and very few of them offered anything even like what he did at Craven Cottage.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 21. David Moyes It’s difficult to think of a managerial career that has suffered such an extreme swing in reputation, and one all the more tragic because his finest moment - the appointment at Manchester United - led to this drastic downfall, but that’s why in such a list it’s all the more important to remember the reasons for the reputation in the first place. For close to a decade, Everton were one of the most respected sides in the Premier League, and even got to the brink of the Champions League just two years after Moyes saved them from relegation.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 20. Tony Pulis Another manager often caricatured, but still one whose teams all had an abundance of character. Pulis established Stoke City as a long-term Premier League team, improbably kept Crystal Palace up, then reformed West Brom. If there are doubts about his ability to manage sides that really need to win, you wouldn’t want to absolutely need a win against one of his teams.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 19. Jurgen Klopp We await to see what’s next, but Klopp already showed blisteringly quick adjustment in his first full Premier League season, offering up some of the most exciting football the competition has seen in some time and getting Liverpool back into the Champions League.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 18. Gerard Houllier Restored Liverpool’s respectability, and many of his players think the work he did there remains underrated as he re-established them as a Champions League club.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 17. Sam Allardyce Another one of those few managers here because he had a justifiable argument to making the Premier League as competitive as it was so often claimed, because - just like Martin O’Neill and Tony Pulis - his sides almost always gave you a real fight and rarely gave up easy points. That is reflected in how he never got relegated, and also took Bolton Wanderers to rare heights.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 16. Sir Bobby Robson Given his illustrious long career, it’s perhaps a pity that the English great was only in the actual Premier League for just under five years. It was still enough to take an impressively swift Newcastle United into the Champions League and up to the top levels, just as he did with Ipswich Town two decades beforehand.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 15. Brendan Rodgers If this seems high, just consider for a second the heights Rodgers took Swansea City and Liverpool to. He got the Welsh side promoted before impressively stabilising them, and then steered Liverpool to one of their few Premier League title challenges, and one that went much much closer than the other two. That speaks a lot louder than some of his infamous soundbites.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 14. Martin O’Neill Long before miracles were being done at Leicester City, O’Neill was producing alchemy, before then making Aston Villa the most consistent side outside the old big four for almost half a decade. You always got a proper challenge from the Irish manager.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 13. Kevin Keegan Everyone remembers that meltdown that coloured his career, but it only came because Keegan’s Newcastle had for three years ratcheted up entertainment levels, and produced one of the most exciting sides in the competition - what it is all about. There followed a solid job at Manchester City, in what is overall a strong argument, and one of the few significant title challenges.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 12. Harry Redknapp He’s become easy to parody, but so much of his record his seriously good, especially given that he is one of very few managers to succeed at both ends of the Premier League. Redknapp has improbably kept Portsmouth up, been responsible for West Ham United’s best Premier League finish and got Tottenham Hotspur into the Champions League - all while generally offering respectable sides. The only blemish is the relegation with Southampton, but there are a lot more bright spots.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 11. Rafa Benitez ‘Facts’ is a word that has become all too associated with the Spaniard to diminish his reputation, so here are a few that should remind everyone that reputation should be much positive: he has been responsible for one of Liverpool’s mere three actual title challenges in the Premier League era, always got them into the Champions League, and then stabilised a freefalling Chelsea for what even old enemy Sir Alex Ferguson said was a “very good job - you can’t deny that”. You also can’t deny that Benitez really has a more impressive record than most.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 10. Mauricio Pochettino If the fundamental requirement of management is to literally ‘manage’ your available resources to get the absolute best out of them, no one in Premier League history has done that as consistently and resoundingly as Pochettino. The bottom line is that, in the most money-propelled league era European football has ever seen, Tottenham Hotspur shouldn’t have been able to finish as high as they did under him. It really shouldn’t have happened, but is all the more impressive following on from his steady improvement of Southampton. Pochettino just has to go the next step in management, the elevated step, and actually start winning.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 9. Manuel Pellegrini If there was an occasional sense that the Chilean was merely overseeing and facilitating Manchester City’s money-laden side, the actual effect was some of the best attacking football the Premier League has ever seen. He couldn’t quite keep it up, but he did keep City at the top long enough to become one of just nine managers to win the competition.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 8. Carlo Ancelotti The manager that really maximised Chelsea’s money by producing perhaps the most entertaining of their title-winners, as well as the highest-scoring side in Premier League history, and that is no mean feat given how Roman Abramovich for so long craved exactly that kind of football. That makes it all the more surprising Ancelotti was sacked.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 7. Roberto Mancini Like a few title-winning managers in this list, the caveat will always be there about the cash he had to spend, but what was really special about Mancini was how he hardened it with a grit and edge that really brought Manchester City together and - most impressively and importantly - ended a 44-year wait for the title. The psychological weight of that can not be minimised, nor can the fact that he was competing against a master title winner in Sir Alex Ferguson… but still won in his first English title race.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 6. Kenny Dalglish The only manager other than Claudio Ranieri to win the Premier League outside England’s primary clubs, even if he did admittedly benefit from Jack Walker’s millions and a more open era. It still took all of Dalglish’s nous to raise a team with no recent history of success - and who had just been promoted three years before their 1995 title, in 1992 - and especially against the behemoth of Sir Alex Ferguson’s United. Dalglish didn’t quite reach the same heights at a Newcastle United seemingly suffering from a post-Kevin Keegan hangover, but then he’d already offered such a supreme champagne moment of his own.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 5. Claudio Ranieri The manager who oversaw the one of the most improbable and thereby impressive title wins that football history - let alone Premier League history - has ever seen. That alone is quite a statement, even if Ranieri wasn’t fully alone. The fact that it has since become evident that it was very much a collective effort at Leicester City slightly mitigates against his managerial effect but, for all the debate about whether this win finally mitigated against a career of failure, that was simply never the case in the Premier League. Ranieri had done a very solid and respectable job at Chelsea, before being part of an impossible job.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 4. Antonio Conte It’s very early days, but that’s entirely the point. Conte is the second manager to win the Premier League in what was his first season, but he had to lift a broken Chelsea far higher than Manuel Pellegrini did with City, and won it so much more emphatically. The way that Conte utterly transformed that team through his switch to three at the back, and thereby caused that formation to be taken on by much of the Premier League, may also represent the most resoundingly influential tactical change the competition has seen.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 3. Arsene Wenger Forget all the recent debate, and remember that this is still the man who has won more Premier League titles than anyone except Ferguson and Mourinho, and has been responsible for the competition’s sole undefeated season. The fact that undefeated season also represents the last of what was three titles in 21 seasons is the main reason he is in just third here, and the struggles of the last few years - even after the passing of the stadium debt era - can’t quite be minimised. By the same token, though, his effect as the league’s first truly modern international manager can’t be minimised either. If he didn’t win the Premier League as much as he might have, he is probably the manager whose influence and different ideas transformed it the most in the shortest space of time. Ferguson set the standards over years, Mourinho raised them when he first arrived, but it was Wenger who most dramatically changed how other managers and clubs did things.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 2. Jose Mourinho The manager who recorded the two highest points totals in the Premier League, thereby forcing even Sir Alex Ferguson to raise his standards, before then coming back and raising Chelsea to first again and win his third title in what is a mere seven measurable seasons in the competition so far. If the jury is out on Mourinho’s present and future, there can be no argument about his brilliant past. He may have had the benefit of the first big takeover, but he gave Roman Abramovich full value for money in terms of victories.
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Top 25 managers in Premier League history 1. Sir Alex Ferguson The master. There’s simply no way to describe him, and simply no way anyone else could be ahead of the man who won a scarcely believable 13 Premier League titles - 62% of those he was involved in. Ferguson appropriately claimed the competition’s very first trophy, immediately showing how he would dominate most of his history, and there’s even a very strong argument that the Premier League is still recovering from his retirement given the open vacuum that has been left by his departure. That says it all. Ferguson won it all.
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Liverpool Current position: 2nd
Points: 73
Average home/away points of opponents: 1.32
Remaining fixtures 17/03 Fulham (A)
31/03 Tottenham (H)
05/04 Southampton (A)
14/04 Chelsea (H)
21/04 Cardiff (A)
26/04 Huddersfield (H)
04/05 Newcastle (A)
12/05 Wolves (H)
When comparing the home and away points-per-game totals of Liverpool and City’s remaining opponents, the difference is 0.01 of a point in Liverpool’s favour.
In other words, there is no meaningful difference in difficulty when comparing the remaining schedules of the two title contenders.
Liverpool’s remaining away days are against bottom-half clubs, which can be a double-edged sword at this time of the season.
Fulham, Southampton and Cardiff are all currently fighting for the points they require to retain their top-flight status, even if some look more doomed than others.
Newcastle, meanwhile, are in excellent form and will be no pushovers at St James’ Park on the penultimate weekend of the campaign.
Two ‘top six’ clubs visit Anfield before the end of the season. Mauricio Pochettino’s Tottenham arrive at the end of the month and have struggled of late.
Chelsea have not travelled particularly well under Maurizio Sarri but have already won at Anfield this season in the EFL Cup.
Huddersfield’s form on the road is woeful and Jan Siewert’s men may well be relegated by the time they turn up on Merseyside.
But Wolverhampton Wanderers are not ideal final day opponents and Anfield itself could be a gift or a curse if it does come down to the very last game.
Verdict It remains very close to call though, with a point advantage and a relatively even schedule, City must be considered favourites.
How Guardiola’s side negotiate their commitments in other competitions next month is likely to be the deciding factor.
Their league sequence of Palace away, Tottenham at home, United away and Burnley away comes at a key moment in their season as a whole.
A probable Champions League quarter-final second leg falls in the middle of that spell and a possible semi-final comes right after it, the midweek before Leicester’s visit.
Add in a likely FA Cup semi-final, which would force the Cardiff game to be rearranged, and City’s April suddenly appears quite hectic.
Liverpool could be involved in European action as well, of course, though there is a sense at Anfield that domestic success is their priority.
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