About the best that can be said for China’s dangerous high-profile military exercises around Taiwan – explicitly designed to demonstrate the ease with which the breakaway island can be “sealed off” – is that at least they are not the real thing.
Indeed, despite the vast show of strength over a three-day period – at least 70 Chinese aircraft, including Su-30 fighters, H-6 bombers, 11 ships and an aircraft carrier – there remains no immediate threat of an invasion.
That said, the brinkmanship, hostile language and wider collapse in Sino-American relations is an obvious threat to stability in a region that already has Kim Jong-un randomly firing missiles, seemingly to remind everyone that he’s still a player.
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