Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

Analysis

Recession forecast explained: What you need to know

The UK’s central bank has predicted a long recession and eye-watering inflation, writes Anna Isaac

Friday 05 August 2022 18:51 BST
Comments
The Bank of England has predicted the longest recession since the financial crisis in 2008
The Bank of England has predicted the longest recession since the financial crisis in 2008 (Getty/iStock)

A recession is coming, according to the Bank of England, and it will be a long one, lasting more than a year.

The economy is not expected to shrink as sharply or as deeply as it did during the financial crisis in 2008, but inflation – the rate of price rises – is set to stay elevated through 2023. This will drive down living standards by the greatest rate on record, according to the central bank.

Borrowing is now more expensive with the Bank of England’s key interest rate raised to 1.75 per cent on Thursday. And the buying power of money is set to be eaten into by inflation which it believes will hit more than 13 per cent later this year.

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in