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Ask John Rentoul anything as dire poll results spark general election woes for Rishi Sunak

How much attention should we be paying to surveys and predictions as the long general election campaign gets under way? Submit your questions to our chief political commentator John Rentoul

Tuesday 16 January 2024 15:48 GMT
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Focus group research, carried out by JL Partners, found that members of the public now regard Mr Sunak with barely concealed contempt (Justin Tallis/PA)
Focus group research, carried out by JL Partners, found that members of the public now regard Mr Sunak with barely concealed contempt (Justin Tallis/PA) (PA Wire)

Rishi Sunak is having a tough week – as a fresh split over the controversial Rwanda bill follows crushing polls and surveys highlighting the prime minister’s popularity, or lack thereof.

Focus group research carried out by JL Partners found that members of the public now regard Mr Sunak with barely concealed contempt.

According to the top pollster, the Tory party leader is seen as “spineless and false” and makes people “cringe”.

Meanwhile, a poll conducted by YouGov has predicted Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer would win a 120-seat majority if the general election was held tomorrow – a repeat of Tony Blair’s landslide victory over the Tories in 1997.

However, Labour will need a record swing to win a majority, as the party’s path to power has been made more difficult by big boundary changes.

So what do these polls really mean? Are the results surprising? And can they even be trusted?

How much attention should we be paying to these surveys and predictions as the long general election campaign gets underway?

If you have a question, submit it now here, or when I join you live at 11am on Wednesday 17 January for the “Ask Me Anything” event.

Register to submit your question in the comments box under this article. If you’re not already a member, click “sign up” in the comments section to leave your question. For a full guide on how to comment click here.

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