The Independent's journalism is supported by our readers. If you click links to other sites on this page, we will earn commission. 

Newcastle vs Brighton prediction: Rutter 19/10 to dent Magpies’ cup dream

Follow our football betting tips as Newcastle and Brighton go head-to-head in the FA Cup

Becky Ashton
Friday 28 February 2025 11:37 GMT
Georginio Rutter is in red hot form in the FA Cup and will look to take Brighton into the quarter-finals
Georginio Rutter is in red hot form in the FA Cup and will look to take Brighton into the quarter-finals (Zac Goodwin/PA Wire)

Newcastle vs Brighton betting tips

  • Brighton to score over 1.5 goals - 5/4 Bet365
  • Rutter to score or assist - 19/10 Unibet

Newcastle welcome Brighton to St James’ Park on Sunday in one of five all-Premier League ties in the FA Cup fifth round (1:45pm, live on ITV1).

So far the Magpies have beaten League Two’s Bromley 3-1 and League One’s Birmingham City 3-2 so Sunday’s match will be a very different prospect if they are to reach the quarter-finals for the second season in a row.

Brighton’s route has been a bit tougher, with a 4-0 win over Championship side Norwich followed by a 2-1 win over Chelsea in the last round when Georginio Rutter and Kaoru Mitoma were on target.

Eddie Howe’s side have won just two of their last 15 meetings with Brighton in all competitions, drawing seven and losing six. They’ve already lost 1-0 against them at St James’ Park this season when Danny Welbeck scored the only goal of the game.

Brighton go into the game on the back of four straight wins after goals from Joao Pedro and Danny Welbeck earned them a 2-1 home win against Bournemouth on Tuesday to move them within one point of Sunday’s opponents in the league table.

Football betting sites are backing the home side for the win at 23/20, while you can get 23/10 on a Brighton win and 3/1 for the scores to be level after 90 minutes.

Newcastle vs Brighton betting preview: Seagulls to keep up their scoring record

Brighton have won each of their last four FA Cup games against Sunday’s hosts without conceding a single goal, but this will be their first meeting in the competition since a 2-0 home win in the 2012-13 third round.

Andrea Orlandi and Will Hoskins scored the goals for Brighton while Newcastle played the last half an hour with just 10 men after Shola Ameobi was sent off.

Newcastle’s chances of progressing will depend on the fitness of striker Alexander Isak, who missed the midweek defeat to Liverpool with a groin injury and Howe has already stated he will not be taking any risks with him, especially with the Carabao Cup final on the horizon.

He was certainly missed at Anfield on Wednesday as the visitors failed to manage a single shot on target in his absence.

If he is missing again then a wager on Brighton to win comes into the equation. Newcastle can’t easily replace Isak with Callum Wilson, who is lacking match sharpness after another injury-hit season and made his first league start of the season on Wednesday.

There is so little to choose from between these two sides and with so much depending on team selection, one bet that looks like a good option is Brighton to score over 1.5 goals, available at 5/4 on betting sites.

They have scored in 14 of their 15 away matches this season, scoring 29 goals in total and over 1.5 on nine separate occasions

Newcastle vs Brighton prediction 1: Brighton to score over 1.5 goals - 5/4 Bet365

Rutter to be in the thick of the action

Brighton’s Georginio Rutter has four goals and two assists in his last three appearances in the FA Cup including three goals in his two games so far this season.

He netted twice against Norwich and cancelled out Bart Verbruggen’s own goal in the 2-1 win over Chelsea in the last round.

So far this season he has eight goals and five assists and betting apps are offering 10/3 on him scoring any time or 19/10 to score or assist.

Newcastle vs Brighton prediction 2: Rutter to score or assist - 19/10 Unibet

Please gamble responsibly

When having a bet, it’s vital to practice responsible gambling.

Sports betting can be addictive, so bettors should take precautions to keep themselves safe when using gambling sites.

Every licensed UK betting site should offer safer gambling tools, such as deposit limits, time outs, self-assessment questionnaires and self-exclusion options.

These are free tools to help punters stay in control and they are available at various gambling sites, including online bookmakers, casino sites, slot sites, and poker sites.

These operators may offer punters free bets or casino bonuses from time to time, but it's important to treat these rewards with caution.

Read the terms and conditions before accepting any bonus as most new UK casino sites will require you to place a cash bet before handing out the reward.

Always remember that sports betting is meant to be fun. It should never be viewed as a guaranteed way to make money.

If you ever feel like you need help or advice on gambling addiction, don’t hesitate to contact one of the charities or organisations below.

We may earn commission from some of the links in this article, but we never allow this to influence our content. This revenue helps to fund journalism across The Independent.

We aim to offer every online gambler and reader of The Independent a safe and fair platform through unbiased reviews and offers from the UK’s best online gambling companies.

Gambling can be addictive, always play responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose. Gambling sites have a number of tools to assist you to stay in control, including deposit limits and time outs. If you think you have a problem, advice and support is available for you now from BeGambleAware or Gamcare.

Any offers or odds listed in this article are correct at the time of publication but are subject to change. Terms & Conditions apply to all offers.

GamstopBe Gamble AwareGamCare18+

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in