Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

The Independent's journalism is supported by our readers. If you click links to other sites on this page, we will earn commission. 

UFC 312 prediction: Du Plessis vs Strickland betting tips and odds

Follow our UFC betting tips as Dricus du Plessis and Sean Strickland once again face off for the middleweight title

Chris Wilson
Friday 07 February 2025 08:02 GMT
This main event is a rematch of the duo’s title fight at UFC 297 in January 2024
This main event is a rematch of the duo’s title fight at UFC 297 in January 2024 (Getty Images)

UFC 312 betting tips

  • Dricus du Plessis to win and fight to go the distance - 8/5 bet365
  • Tatiana Suarez to win via decision - 11/4 William Hill

Two UFC titles fights come to Sydney this weekend as UFC 312 takes place Down Under, with Dricus du Plessis looking to defend his middleweight belt for a second time against Sean Strickland.

The South African, the first UFC champion from his country, originally won the title off Strickland in January 2024, and the two face off again after Du Plessis defended his title against Israel Adesanya and Strickland beat Paolo Costa.

And Saturday night’s eagerly anticipated match-up sees Du Plessis go into the fight as a favourite, with betting sites making him a heavy 1/2 favourite for the win, compared to Strickland at around 17/10.

There is another title fight in the co-main event, as strawweight champion Zhang Weili looks to continue her second reign with a third straight defence as she faces Tatiana Suarez.

Chinese fighter Zhang, who first gained the title in 2019, won it back in 2022 and has since defended it with wins over Amanda Lemos and Yan Xiaonan.

Perhaps surprisingly, Zhang is a slight underdog in this one, offered at 1/1 to Suarez’s 4/5 on UFC betting sites.

UFC 312 betting preview: Du Plessis too good for Tarzan

The first showdown between Du Plessis and controversial American Strickland ended in a split-decision win for the South African, with some fans and pundits questioning the judges’ decision.

It means that the rematch is extremely difficult to call, though in reality the bookies have made Du Plessis the clear favourite at 1/2.

There’s little value in backing Du Plessis straight up, so combining a win for the South African with a wager on the fight going the distance could be the way to go.

With the fight going the distance last time, it was clear that neither fighter was likely to possess the striking power to land a knockout or TKO on the other, and despite Du Plessis proficiency on the floor, Strickland’s striking takedown defence remains one of his biggest assets.

With that in mind, a wager on Du Plessis to retain his title and the fight to go the distance may be the best option on betting apps.

UFC 312 prediction 1: Dricus du Plessis to win and fight to go the distance - 8/5 bet365

Suarez vs Zhang betting preview: Get against Zhang

Suarez heads into the fight as a slight favourite, despite her last fight having come in August 2023 – a submission win over Jessica Andrade.

The division’s number one ranked fighter has secured a title shot in just her eighth appearance in the Octagon, and though injury problems have held her back somewhat so far, she heads in as favourite due to impressive wrestling ability, which has so far proven too much for almost every other fighter in the division.

The American’s style is a little at odds with the striking of Zhang, but if Suarez can avoid the speed of the champion, she may be able to show why she’s the favourite.

To that end, a wager on the challenger to win by decision could offer good value at 11/4 with William Hill.

UFC 312 prediction 2: Tatiana Suarez to win via decision - 11/4 William Hill

Responsible gambling

When having a bet, it’s vital to practice responsible gambling.

Sports betting can be addictive, so bettors should take precautions to keep themselves safe when using gambling sites.

Every licensed UK betting site should offer safer gambling tools, such as deposit limits, time outs, self-assessment questionnaires and self-exclusion options.

These are free tools to help punters stay in control and they are available at various gambling sites, including online bookmakers, casino sites, slot sites, and poker sites.

These operators may offer punters free bets or casino bonuses from time to time, but it's important to treat these rewards with caution.

Read the terms and conditions before accepting any bonus as most new casino sites will require you to place a cash bet before handing out the reward.

Always remember that sports betting is meant to be fun. It should never be viewed as a guaranteed way to make money.

If you ever feel like you need help or advice on gambling addiction, don’t hesitate to contact one of the charities or organisations below.

We may earn commission from some of the links in this article, but we never allow this to influence our content. This revenue helps to fund journalism across The Independent.

We aim to offer every online gambler and reader of The Independent a safe and fair platform through unbiased reviews and offers from the UK’s best online gambling companies.

Gambling can be addictive, always play responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose. Gambling sites have a number of tools to assist you to stay in control, including deposit limits and time outs. If you think you have a problem, advice and support is available for you now from BeGambleAware or Gamcare.

Any offers or odds listed in this article are correct at the time of publication but are subject to change. Terms & Conditions apply to all offers.

GamstopBe Gamble AwareGamCare18+

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in